SEL4
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 754
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1025 PM CDT THU OCT 1 2009
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS
          PARTS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA
          EXTREME WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 1025 PM
   UNTIL 400 AM CDT.
   
   HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
   MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
   STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 65 MILES NORTH
   NORTHEAST OF MONROE LOUISIANA TO 30 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF
   NATCHITOCHES LOUISIANA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH
   SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 752...WW 753...
   
   DISCUSSION...BAND OF SEVERE STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EWD/SEWD
   OVERNIGHT IMMEDIATELY IN ADVANCE OF A SURFACE COLD FRONT.  THOUGH
   THE ERN EXTENT OF THE LOW-LEVEL DESTABILIZATION IS IN QUESTION...A
   FEED OF MOISTURE FROM THE S/SW AND RELATIVELY STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE
   RATES FROM THE W WILL MAINTAIN SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY FOR STORMS
   CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED LARGE HAIL.  DEEP
   LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR WILL ALSO REMAIN SUFFICIENT FOR EMBEDDED
   BOWS/SUPERCELLS AS THE PRIMARY MID LEVEL TROUGH PASSES TO THE N OF
   THIS AREA.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS.
   A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION
   VECTOR 29030.
   
   
   ...THOMPSON

   SEL4
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 754
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1025 PM CDT THU OCT 1 2009
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS
          PARTS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA
          EXTREME WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 1025 PM
   UNTIL 400 AM CDT.
   
   WIDELY SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS TO 70 MPH
   WIDELY SCATTERED LARGE HAIL TO 1.0 INCH IN DIAMETER
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
   STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 65 MILES NORTH
   NORTHEAST OF MONROE LOUISIANA TO 30 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF
   NATCHITOCHES LOUISIANA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH
   SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 752...WW 753...
   
   DISCUSSION...BAND OF SEVERE STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EWD/SEWD
   OVERNIGHT IMMEDIATELY IN ADVANCE OF A SURFACE COLD FRONT.  THOUGH
   THE ERN EXTENT OF THE LOW-LEVEL DESTABILIZATION IS IN QUESTION...A
   FEED OF MOISTURE FROM THE S/SW AND RELATIVELY STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE
   RATES FROM THE W WILL MAINTAIN SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY FOR STORMS
   CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED LARGE HAIL.  DEEP
   LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR WILL ALSO REMAIN SUFFICIENT FOR EMBEDDED
   BOWS/SUPERCELLS AS THE PRIMARY MID LEVEL TROUGH PASSES TO THE N OF
   THIS AREA.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS.
   A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION
   VECTOR 29030.
   
   
   ...THOMPSON

   SEL4
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 754
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1025 PM CDT THU OCT 1 2009
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS
          PARTS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA
          EXTREME WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 1025 PM
   UNTIL 400 AM CDT.
   
   HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
   MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
   STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 65 MILES NORTH
   NORTHEAST OF MONROE LOUISIANA TO 30 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF
   NATCHITOCHES LOUISIANA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH
   SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 752...WW 753...
   
   DISCUSSION...BAND OF SEVERE STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EWD/SEWD
   OVERNIGHT IMMEDIATELY IN ADVANCE OF A SURFACE COLD FRONT.  THOUGH
   THE ERN EXTENT OF THE LOW-LEVEL DESTABILIZATION IS IN QUESTION...A
   FEED OF MOISTURE FROM THE S/SW AND RELATIVELY STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE
   RATES FROM THE W WILL MAINTAIN SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY FOR STORMS
   CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED LARGE HAIL.  DEEP
   LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR WILL ALSO REMAIN SUFFICIENT FOR EMBEDDED
   BOWS/SUPERCELLS AS THE PRIMARY MID LEVEL TROUGH PASSES TO THE N OF
   THIS AREA.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS.
   A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION
   VECTOR 29030.
   
   
   ...THOMPSON

   WOUS64 KWNS 020321
   WOU4
   
   BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 754
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1025 PM CDT THU OCT 1 2009
   
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 754 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 AM CDT
   FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
   
   ARC003-017-020900-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0754.091002T0325Z-091002T0900Z/
   
   AR 
   .    ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   ASHLEY               CHICOT              
   
   
   LAC021-025-029-035-041-043-049-059-065-067-069-073-083-085-107-
   123-127-020900-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0754.091002T0325Z-091002T0900Z/
   
   LA 
   .    LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
   
   CALDWELL             CATAHOULA           CONCORDIA           
   EAST CARROLL         FRANKLIN            GRANT               
   JACKSON              LA SALLE            MADISON             
   MOREHOUSE            NATCHITOCHES        OUACHITA            
   RICHLAND             SABINE              TENSAS              
   WEST CARROLL         WINN                
   
   
   MSC055-125-149-151-020900-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0754.091002T0325Z-091002T0900Z/
   
   MS 
   .    MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   ISSAQUENA            SHARKEY             WARREN              
   WASHINGTON           
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...JAN...SHV...
   
   
   

   SAW4 
   WW 754 SEVERE TSTM AR LA MS 020325Z - 020900Z
   AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
   65NNE MLU/MONROE LA/ - 30ESE IER/NATCHITOCHES LA/
   ..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /56NNE MLU - 20NNW AEX/
   HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
   MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29030.
   
   LAT...LON 33389055 31569161 31569365 33389263
   
   THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
   FOR WOU4.
   

Watch 754 Status Report Messages:

STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 754

VALID 020735Z - 020840Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ENE ESF
TO 20 NNW HEZ.

..DIAL..10/02/09

ATTN...WFO...JAN...SHV...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 754 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

LAC029-020840-

LA 
.    LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE

CONCORDIA	     
$$


MSC001-037-063-020840-

MS 
.    MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADAMS		     FRANKLIN		 JEFFERSON	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 754

VALID 020635Z - 020740Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SE IER TO
30 SSE MLU TO 40 E MLU TO 60 WNW JAN.

..DIAL..10/02/09

ATTN...WFO...JAN...SHV...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 754 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

LAC025-029-041-043-059-065-107-020740-

LA 
.    LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE

CATAHOULA	     CONCORDIA		 FRANKLIN	     
GRANT		     LA SALLE		 MADISON	     
TENSAS		     
$$


MSC149-020740-

MS 
.    MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

WARREN		     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 754

VALID 020550Z - 020640Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WSW IER
TO 40 SSW MLU TO 30 ENE MLU TO 55 E MLU.

..DIAL..10/02/09

ATTN...WFO...JAN...SHV...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 754 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

LAC021-025-029-041-043-059-065-069-083-085-107-020640-

LA 
.    LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE

CALDWELL	     CATAHOULA		 CONCORDIA	     
FRANKLIN	     GRANT		 LA SALLE	     
MADISON 	     NATCHITOCHES	 RICHLAND	     
SABINE		     TENSAS		 
$$


MSC149-020640-

MS 
.    MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

WARREN		     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 754

VALID 020455Z - 020540Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

..GUYER..10/02/09

ATTN...WFO...JAN...SHV...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 754 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

ARC003-017-020540-

AR 
.    ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ASHLEY		     CHICOT		 
$$


LAC021-025-029-035-041-043-049-059-065-067-069-073-083-085-107-
123-127-020540-

LA 
.    LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE

CALDWELL	     CATAHOULA		 CONCORDIA	     
EAST CARROLL	     FRANKLIN		 GRANT		     
JACKSON 	     LA SALLE		 MADISON	     
MOREHOUSE	     NATCHITOCHES	 OUACHITA	     
RICHLAND	     SABINE		 TENSAS 	     
WEST CARROLL	     WINN		 
$$


MSC055-125-149-151-020540-

MS 
.    MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ISSAQUENA	     SHARKEY		 WARREN 	     
WASHINGTON	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

Please visit the National Weather Service Interactive Weather Information Network (IWIN) for more information on the warnings.

For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), "Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.