SEL9
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 169
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   500 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          SOUTHERN IOWA
          FAR NORTHEAST KANSAS
          NORTHERN MISSOURI
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON FROM 500 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.
   
   TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
   GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
   AREAS.
   
   THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
   MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES WEST OF SHENANDOAH
   IOWA TO 25 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF OTTUMWA IOWA.  FOR A COMPLETE
   DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
   (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
   
   REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
   TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 165...WW 166...WW
   167...WW 168...
   
   DISCUSSION...EVOLVING BOW ECHO/HP SUPERCELL OVER SERN NEB IS
   EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ENEWD ALONG WARM FRONT...POTENTIALLY ENHANCING
   DOWNSTREAM STORM DEVELOPMENT ALONG WARM FRONT.  LATEST MODEL
   GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT A SSWLY LLJ WILL STRENGTHEN TO 50+ KT ACROSS
   REGION TONIGHT...ENHANCING CONVERGENCE ALONG WARM FRONT...AND
   LOW-LEVEL SHEAR.  AS SUCH...A RISK FOR TORNADOES...DAMAGING WINDS
   AND LARGE HAIL WILL EXIST WITH ANY SUSTAINED STORM STRUCTURES.
   
   AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
   SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
   WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
   500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
   
   
   ...MEAD

   SEL9
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 169
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   500 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          SOUTHERN IOWA
          FAR NORTHEAST KANSAS
          NORTHERN MISSOURI
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON FROM 500 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.
   
   SEVERAL TORNADOES
   ISOLATED INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
   WIDELY SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS
   ISOLATED WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
   SCATTERED LARGE HAIL
   ISOLATED HAIL TO 2.0 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
   
   THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
   MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES WEST OF SHENANDOAH
   IOWA TO 25 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF OTTUMWA IOWA.  FOR A COMPLETE
   DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
   (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
   
   REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
   TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 165...WW 166...WW
   167...WW 168...
   
   DISCUSSION...EVOLVING BOW ECHO/HP SUPERCELL OVER SERN NEB IS
   EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ENEWD ALONG WARM FRONT...POTENTIALLY ENHANCING
   DOWNSTREAM STORM DEVELOPMENT ALONG WARM FRONT.  LATEST MODEL
   GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT A SSWLY LLJ WILL STRENGTHEN TO 50+ KT ACROSS
   REGION TONIGHT...ENHANCING CONVERGENCE ALONG WARM FRONT...AND
   LOW-LEVEL SHEAR.  AS SUCH...A RISK FOR TORNADOES...DAMAGING WINDS
   AND LARGE HAIL WILL EXIST WITH ANY SUSTAINED STORM STRUCTURES.
   
   AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
   SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
   WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
   500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
   
   
   ...MEAD

   SEL9
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 169
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   500 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          SOUTHERN IOWA
          FAR NORTHEAST KANSAS
          NORTHERN MISSOURI
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON FROM 500 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.
   
   TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
   GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
   AREAS.
   
   THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
   MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES WEST OF SHENANDOAH
   IOWA TO 25 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF OTTUMWA IOWA.  FOR A COMPLETE
   DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
   (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
   
   REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
   TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 165...WW 166...WW
   167...WW 168...
   
   DISCUSSION...EVOLVING BOW ECHO/HP SUPERCELL OVER SERN NEB IS
   EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ENEWD ALONG WARM FRONT...POTENTIALLY ENHANCING
   DOWNSTREAM STORM DEVELOPMENT ALONG WARM FRONT.  LATEST MODEL
   GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT A SSWLY LLJ WILL STRENGTHEN TO 50+ KT ACROSS
   REGION TONIGHT...ENHANCING CONVERGENCE ALONG WARM FRONT...AND
   LOW-LEVEL SHEAR.  AS SUCH...A RISK FOR TORNADOES...DAMAGING WINDS
   AND LARGE HAIL WILL EXIST WITH ANY SUSTAINED STORM STRUCTURES.
   
   AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
   SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
   WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
   500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
   
   
   ...MEAD

   WOUS64 KWNS 142156
   WOU9
   
   BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 169
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   500 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012
   
   TORNADO WATCH 169 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1200 AM CDT FOR THE
    FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
   
   IAC001-003-007-009-029-039-049-051-053-077-099-117-121-123-125-
   135-153-157-159-173-175-179-181-185-150500-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0169.120414T2200Z-120415T0500Z/
   
   IA 
   .    IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   ADAIR                ADAMS               APPANOOSE           
   AUDUBON              CASS                CLARKE              
   DALLAS               DAVIS               DECATUR             
   GUTHRIE              JASPER              LUCAS               
   MADISON              MAHASKA             MARION              
   MONROE               POLK                POWESHIEK           
   RINGGOLD             TAYLOR              UNION               
   WAPELLO              WARREN              WAYNE               
   
   
   KSC043-150500-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0169.120414T2200Z-120415T0500Z/
   
   KS 
   .    KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   DONIPHAN             
   
   
   MOC001-003-005-021-025-049-061-063-075-079-081-087-115-117-121-
   129-147-171-197-211-227-150500-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0169.120414T2200Z-120415T0500Z/
   
   MO 
   .    MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   ADAIR                ANDREW              ATCHISON            
   BUCHANAN             CALDWELL            CLINTON             
   DAVIESS              DEKALB              GENTRY              
   GRUNDY               HARRISON            HOLT                
   LINN                 LIVINGSTON          MACON               
   MERCER               NODAWAY             PUTNAM              
   SCHUYLER             SULLIVAN            WORTH               
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...DMX...EAX...
   
   
   

   SAW9 
   WW 169 TORNADO IA KS MO 142200Z - 150500Z
   AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
   25W SDA/SHENANDOAH IA/ - 25SSE OTM/OTTUMWA IA/
   ..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM N/S /26SSW OVR - 40NNE IRK/
   HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
   MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
   
   LAT...LON 41839590 41849226 39689226 39659590
   
   THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
   FOR WOU9.
   

Watch 169 Status Report Messages:

STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 169

VALID 150435Z - 150500Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNE IRK
TO 20 W LWD TO 20 S OMA.

REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW 169 MAY BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 
15/05Z.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 541

..KERR..04/15/12

ATTN...WFO...DMX...EAX...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 169 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

IAC001-003-007-009-029-039-049-051-053-077-099-117-121-123-125-
135-153-157-159-173-175-179-181-185-150500-

IA 
.    IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADAIR		     ADAMS		 APPANOOSE	     
AUDUBON 	     CASS		 CLARKE 	     
DALLAS		     DAVIS		 DECATUR	     
GUTHRIE 	     JASPER		 LUCAS		     
MADISON 	     MAHASKA		 MARION 	     
MONROE		     POLK		 POWESHIEK	     
RINGGOLD	     TAYLOR		 UNION		     
WAPELLO 	     WARREN		 WAYNE		     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 169

VALID 150340Z - 150440Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNE IRK
TO 20 W LWD TO 20 S OMA.

..KERR..04/15/12

ATTN...WFO...DMX...EAX...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 169 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

IAC001-003-007-009-029-039-049-051-053-077-099-117-121-123-125-
135-153-157-159-173-175-179-181-185-150440-

IA 
.    IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADAIR		     ADAMS		 APPANOOSE	     
AUDUBON 	     CASS		 CLARKE 	     
DALLAS		     DAVIS		 DECATUR	     
GUTHRIE 	     JASPER		 LUCAS		     
MADISON 	     MAHASKA		 MARION 	     
MONROE		     POLK		 POWESHIEK	     
RINGGOLD	     TAYLOR		 UNION		     
WAPELLO 	     WARREN		 WAYNE		     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 169

VALID 150230Z - 150340Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNE IRK
TO 20 W LWD TO 20 S OMA.

..KERR..04/15/12

ATTN...WFO...DMX...EAX...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 169 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

IAC001-003-007-009-029-039-049-051-053-077-099-117-121-123-125-
135-153-157-159-173-175-179-181-185-150340-

IA 
.    IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADAIR		     ADAMS		 APPANOOSE	     
AUDUBON 	     CASS		 CLARKE 	     
DALLAS		     DAVIS		 DECATUR	     
GUTHRIE 	     JASPER		 LUCAS		     
MADISON 	     MAHASKA		 MARION 	     
MONROE		     POLK		 POWESHIEK	     
RINGGOLD	     TAYLOR		 UNION		     
WAPELLO 	     WARREN		 WAYNE		     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 169

VALID 150140Z - 150240Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NE IRK TO
20 W LWD TO 20 SSW OMA.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 536

..HURLBUT..04/15/12

ATTN...WFO...DMX...EAX...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 169 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

IAC001-003-007-009-029-039-049-051-053-077-099-117-121-123-125-
135-153-157-159-173-175-179-181-185-150240-

IA 
.    IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADAIR		     ADAMS		 APPANOOSE	     
AUDUBON 	     CASS		 CLARKE 	     
DALLAS		     DAVIS		 DECATUR	     
GUTHRIE 	     JASPER		 LUCAS		     
MADISON 	     MAHASKA		 MARION 	     
MONROE		     POLK		 POWESHIEK	     
RINGGOLD	     TAYLOR		 UNION		     
WAPELLO 	     WARREN		 WAYNE		     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 169

VALID 150055Z - 150140Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 WSW BRL
TO 35 NW FNB.

..HURLBUT..04/15/12

ATTN...WFO...DMX...EAX...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 169 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

IAC001-003-007-009-029-039-049-051-053-077-099-117-121-123-125-
135-153-157-159-173-175-179-181-185-150140-

IA 
.    IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADAIR		     ADAMS		 APPANOOSE	     
AUDUBON 	     CASS		 CLARKE 	     
DALLAS		     DAVIS		 DECATUR	     
GUTHRIE 	     JASPER		 LUCAS		     
MADISON 	     MAHASKA		 MARION 	     
MONROE		     POLK		 POWESHIEK	     
RINGGOLD	     TAYLOR		 UNION		     
WAPELLO 	     WARREN		 WAYNE		     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 169

VALID 142345Z - 150040Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

..KERR..04/14/12

ATTN...WFO...DMX...EAX...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 169 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

IAC001-003-007-009-029-039-049-051-053-077-099-117-121-123-125-
135-153-157-159-173-175-179-181-185-150040-

IA 
.    IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADAIR		     ADAMS		 APPANOOSE	     
AUDUBON 	     CASS		 CLARKE 	     
DALLAS		     DAVIS		 DECATUR	     
GUTHRIE 	     JASPER		 LUCAS		     
MADISON 	     MAHASKA		 MARION 	     
MONROE		     POLK		 POWESHIEK	     
RINGGOLD	     TAYLOR		 UNION		     
WAPELLO 	     WARREN		 WAYNE		     
$$


KSC043-150040-

KS 
.    KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

DONIPHAN	     
$$


MOC001-003-005-021-025-049-061-063-075-079-081-087-115-117-121-
129-147-171-197-211-227-150040-

MO 
.    MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADAIR		     ANDREW		 ATCHISON	     
BUCHANAN	     CALDWELL		 CLINTON	     
DAVIESS 	     DEKALB		 GENTRY 	     
GRUNDY		     HARRISON		 HOLT		     
LINN		     LIVINGSTON 	 MACON		     
MERCER		     NODAWAY		 PUTNAM 	     
SCHUYLER	     SULLIVAN		 WORTH		     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

Please visit the National Weather Service Interactive Weather Information Network (IWIN) for more information on the warnings.

For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), "Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.