Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 695
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1255 PM CST TUE DEC 25 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWESTERN AND WEST-CENTRAL ALABAMA
EASTERN AND SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1255 PM UNTIL
800 PM CST.
...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...
DESTRUCTIVE TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 75 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 125 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
BOOTHVILLE LOUISIANA TO 40 MILES NORTHEAST OF JACKSON
MISSISSIPPI. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 692. WATCH NUMBER 692 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER
1255 PM CST. CONTINUE...WW 693...WW 694...
DISCUSSION...WARM SECTOR SPREADING INLAND ACROSS WW AREA WILL BECOME
INCREASINGLY JUXTAPOSED WITH STRENGTHENING DEEP SHEAR AND ENLARGED
LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS. MCS MOVING EWD INTO THIS REGIME WILL
ENCOUNTER MLCAPE 500-1500 J/KG...WITH EFFECTIVE SRH MAXIMIZED NEAR
WARM FRONT AT 400-600 J/KG. ANY RELATIVELY SUSTAINED/DISCRETE
SUPERCELLS WILL OFFER RISK OF LONG-TRACKED/DAMAGING TORNADOES.
DAMAGING GUSTS AND OCNL TORNADOES ARE ALSO LIKELY FROM QLCS/LEW/BOW
STRUCTURES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.
...EDWARDS
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 695 TORNADO AL LA MS CW 251855Z - 260200Z
AXIS..125 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
25SW BVE/BOOTHVILLE LA/ - 40NE JAN/JACKSON MS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 110NM E/W /22ESE LEV - 32ENE JAN/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.
REPLACES WW 692..LA CW
LAT...LON 29059176 32709173 32708744 29058762
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 695 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 695
VALID 252345Z - 260040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SSE 7R4
TO 20 SSW PIB TO 35 NE MEI.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2220.
..GRAMS..12/25/12
ATTN...WFO...MOB...BMX...LIX...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 695
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC001-003-005-011-023-025-047-051-063-065-085-087-091-097-099-
101-105-109-113-119-129-131-260040-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUTAUGA BALDWIN BARBOUR
BULLOCK CHOCTAW CLARKE
DALLAS ELMORE GREENE
HALE LOWNDES MACON
MARENGO MOBILE MONROE
MONTGOMERY PERRY PIKE
RUSSELL SUMTER WASHINGTON
WILCOX
$$
LAC051-057-071-075-087-089-095-103-109-260040-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
JEFFERSON LAFOURCHE ORLEANS
PLAQUEMINES ST. BERNARD ST. CHARLES
ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST ST. TAMMANY TERREBONNE
$$
MSC023-035-039-041-045-047-059-067-073-109-111-131-153-260040-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARKE FORREST GEORGE
GREENE HANCOCK HARRISON
JACKSON JONES LAMAR
PEARL RIVER PERRY STONE
WAYNE
$$
GMZ530-532-534-536-538-550-552-555-557-630-631-632-650-260040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS
MISSISSIPPI SOUND
LAKE BORGNE
CHANDELEUR SOUND
BRETON SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON LA TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
LA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI TO STAKE ISLAND OUT 20
NM
NORTH MOBILE BAY
SOUTH MOBILE BAY
MISSISSIPPI SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 695
VALID 252300Z - 260040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SE 7R4 TO
30 NNE MEI.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2218
..SMITH..12/25/12
ATTN...WFO...MOB...BMX...LIX...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 695
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC001-003-005-011-023-025-047-051-063-065-085-087-091-097-099-
101-105-109-113-119-129-131-260040-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUTAUGA BALDWIN BARBOUR
BULLOCK CHOCTAW CLARKE
DALLAS ELMORE GREENE
HALE LOWNDES MACON
MARENGO MOBILE MONROE
MONTGOMERY PERRY PIKE
RUSSELL SUMTER WASHINGTON
WILCOX
$$
LAC005-007-051-057-071-075-087-089-093-095-103-105-109-117-
260040-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ASCENSION ASSUMPTION JEFFERSON
LAFOURCHE ORLEANS PLAQUEMINES
ST. BERNARD ST. CHARLES ST. JAMES
ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST ST. TAMMANY TANGIPAHOA
TERREBONNE WASHINGTON
$$
MSC023-035-039-041-045-047-059-061-067-073-075-079-091-109-111-
127-131-153-260040-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARKE FORREST GEORGE
GREENE HANCOCK HARRISON
JACKSON JASPER JONES
LAMAR LAUDERDALE LEAKE
MARION PEARL RIVER PERRY
SIMPSON STONE WAYNE
$$
GMZ530-532-534-536-538-550-552-555-557-630-631-632-650-260040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS
MISSISSIPPI SOUND
LAKE BORGNE
CHANDELEUR SOUND
BRETON SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON LA TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
LA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI TO STAKE ISLAND OUT 20
NM
NORTH MOBILE BAY
SOUTH MOBILE BAY
MISSISSIPPI SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 695
VALID 252130Z - 252240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNE LFT
TO 40 SW JAN TO 35 N JAN.
..COHEN..12/25/12
ATTN...WFO...MOB...BMX...LIX...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 695
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC003-023-025-047-063-065-091-097-099-105-119-129-131-252240-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN CHOCTAW CLARKE
DALLAS GREENE HALE
MARENGO MOBILE MONROE
PERRY SUMTER WASHINGTON
WILCOX
$$
LAC005-007-033-037-047-051-057-063-071-075-077-087-089-091-093-
095-103-105-109-117-121-125-252240-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ASCENSION ASSUMPTION EAST BATON ROUGE
EAST FELICIANA IBERVILLE JEFFERSON
LAFOURCHE LIVINGSTON ORLEANS
PLAQUEMINES POINTE COUPEE ST. BERNARD
ST. CHARLES ST. HELENA ST. JAMES
ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST ST. TAMMANY TANGIPAHOA
TERREBONNE WASHINGTON WEST BATON ROUGE
WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC005-023-029-031-035-037-039-041-045-047-049-059-061-065-067-
069-073-075-077-079-085-089-091-099-101-109-111-113-121-123-127-
129-131-147-153-157-252240-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AMITE CLARKE COPIAH
COVINGTON FORREST FRANKLIN
GEORGE GREENE HANCOCK
HARRISON HINDS JACKSON
JASPER JEFFERSON DAVIS JONES
KEMPER LAMAR LAUDERDALE
LAWRENCE LEAKE LINCOLN
MADISON MARION NESHOBA
NEWTON PEARL RIVER PERRY
PIKE RANKIN SCOTT
SIMPSON SMITH STONE
WALTHALL WAYNE WILKINSON
$$
GMZ530-532-534-536-538-550-552-555-557-630-631-632-650-252240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS
MISSISSIPPI SOUND
LAKE BORGNE
CHANDELEUR SOUND
BRETON SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON LA TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
LA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI TO STAKE ISLAND OUT 20
NM
NORTH MOBILE BAY
SOUTH MOBILE BAY
MISSISSIPPI SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 695
VALID 252030Z - 252140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..COHEN..12/25/12
ATTN...WFO...MOB...BMX...LIX...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 695
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC003-023-025-047-063-065-091-097-099-105-119-129-131-252140-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN CHOCTAW CLARKE
DALLAS GREENE HALE
MARENGO MOBILE MONROE
PERRY SUMTER WASHINGTON
WILCOX
$$
LAC005-007-025-029-033-037-047-051-057-063-065-071-075-077-087-
089-091-093-095-103-105-107-109-117-121-125-252140-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ASCENSION ASSUMPTION CATAHOULA
CONCORDIA EAST BATON ROUGE EAST FELICIANA
IBERVILLE JEFFERSON LAFOURCHE
LIVINGSTON MADISON ORLEANS
PLAQUEMINES POINTE COUPEE ST. BERNARD
ST. CHARLES ST. HELENA ST. JAMES
ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST ST. TAMMANY TANGIPAHOA
TENSAS TERREBONNE WASHINGTON
WEST BATON ROUGE WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC001-005-021-023-029-031-035-037-039-041-045-047-049-059-061-
063-065-067-069-073-075-077-079-085-089-091-099-101-109-111-113-
121-123-127-129-131-147-149-153-157-163-252140-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS AMITE CLAIBORNE
CLARKE COPIAH COVINGTON
FORREST FRANKLIN GEORGE
GREENE HANCOCK HARRISON
HINDS JACKSON JASPER
JEFFERSON JEFFERSON DAVIS JONES
KEMPER LAMAR LAUDERDALE
LAWRENCE LEAKE LINCOLN
MADISON MARION NESHOBA
NEWTON PEARL RIVER PERRY
PIKE RANKIN SCOTT
SIMPSON SMITH STONE
WALTHALL WARREN WAYNE
WILKINSON YAZOO
$$
GMZ530-532-534-536-538-550-552-555-557-630-631-632-650-252140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS
MISSISSIPPI SOUND
LAKE BORGNE
CHANDELEUR SOUND
BRETON SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON LA TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
LA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI TO STAKE ISLAND OUT 20
NM
NORTH MOBILE BAY
SOUTH MOBILE BAY
MISSISSIPPI SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 695
VALID 251930Z - 252040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..COHEN..12/25/12
ATTN...WFO...MOB...BMX...LIX...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 695
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC003-023-025-047-063-065-091-097-099-105-119-129-131-252040-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN CHOCTAW CLARKE
DALLAS GREENE HALE
MARENGO MOBILE MONROE
PERRY SUMTER WASHINGTON
WILCOX
$$
LAC005-007-025-029-033-037-047-051-057-063-065-071-075-077-087-
089-091-093-095-103-105-107-109-117-121-125-252040-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ASCENSION ASSUMPTION CATAHOULA
CONCORDIA EAST BATON ROUGE EAST FELICIANA
IBERVILLE JEFFERSON LAFOURCHE
LIVINGSTON MADISON ORLEANS
PLAQUEMINES POINTE COUPEE ST. BERNARD
ST. CHARLES ST. HELENA ST. JAMES
ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST ST. TAMMANY TANGIPAHOA
TENSAS TERREBONNE WASHINGTON
WEST BATON ROUGE WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC001-005-021-023-029-031-035-037-039-041-045-047-049-059-061-
063-065-067-069-073-075-077-079-085-089-091-099-101-109-111-113-
121-123-127-129-131-147-149-153-157-163-252040-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS AMITE CLAIBORNE
CLARKE COPIAH COVINGTON
FORREST FRANKLIN GEORGE
GREENE HANCOCK HARRISON
HINDS JACKSON JASPER
JEFFERSON JEFFERSON DAVIS JONES
KEMPER LAMAR LAUDERDALE
LAWRENCE LEAKE LINCOLN
MADISON MARION NESHOBA
NEWTON PEARL RIVER PERRY
PIKE RANKIN SCOTT
SIMPSON SMITH STONE
WALTHALL WARREN WAYNE
WILKINSON YAZOO
$$
GMZ530-532-534-536-538-550-552-555-557-630-631-632-650-252040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS
MISSISSIPPI SOUND
LAKE BORGNE
CHANDELEUR SOUND
BRETON SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON LA TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
LA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI TO STAKE ISLAND OUT 20
NM
NORTH MOBILE BAY
SOUTH MOBILE BAY
MISSISSIPPI SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
High (80%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
High (70%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (60%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.