Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 161
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
635 AM CDT Mon May 4 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northern, central and eastern Kansas
Western and southern Missouri
* Effective this Monday morning and afternoon from 635 AM until
300 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 3 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph possible
SUMMARY...Strong thunderstorms are developing in parts of central
Kansas, and should increase greatly in both coverage and intensity
across the rest of the Kansas part of the watch in the next few
hours, before shifting eastward into Missouri. Large hail is the
main threat, though severe gusts are an increasing concern with time
through the morning.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 145
statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles northeast of
Concordia KS to 25 miles south of Springfield MO. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
29035.
...Edwards
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 161
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
635 AM CDT Mon May 4 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northern, central and eastern Kansas
Western and southern Missouri
* Effective this Monday morning and afternoon from 635 AM until
300 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 3 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph possible
SUMMARY...Strong thunderstorms are developing in parts of central
Kansas, and should increase greatly in both coverage and intensity
across the rest of the Kansas part of the watch in the next few
hours, before shifting eastward into Missouri. Large hail is the
main threat, though severe gusts are an increasing concern with time
through the morning.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 145
statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles northeast of
Concordia KS to 25 miles south of Springfield MO. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
29035.
...Edwards
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 161 SEVERE TSTM KS MO 041135Z - 042000Z
AXIS..145 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
45NE CNK/CONCORDIA KS/ - 25S SGF/SPRINGFIELD MO/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 125NM E/W /40WSW PWE - 30S SGF/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29035.
LAT...LON 39979431 36839076 36839600 39979979
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 161 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #8 ON WW 161
VALID 041945Z - 042040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NW FLP TO
20 ENE SGF TO 30 WSW TBN TO 15 NNW TBN TO 20 SSE JEF.
..GLEASON..05/04/20
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...EAX...SGF...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 161
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MOC065-067-091-105-125-149-153-161-169-203-215-225-229-042040-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DENT DOUGLAS HOWELL
LACLEDE MARIES OREGON
OZARK PHELPS PULASKI
SHANNON TEXAS WEBSTER
WRIGHT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 161
VALID 041845Z - 041940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NE HRO TO
35 NE JLN TO 55 NNE SGF TO 40 NE SZL.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 531
..GLEASON..05/04/20
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...EAX...SGF...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 161
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MOC029-043-057-059-065-067-077-085-091-105-125-131-141-149-153-
161-167-169-203-213-215-225-229-041940-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CAMDEN CHRISTIAN DADE
DALLAS DENT DOUGLAS
GREENE HICKORY HOWELL
LACLEDE MARIES MILLER
MORGAN OREGON OZARK
PHELPS POLK PULASKI
SHANNON TANEY TEXAS
WEBSTER WRIGHT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 161
VALID 041735Z - 041840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNW HRO
TO 30 ENE CNU TO 45 SSE OJC TO 30 W SZL TO 30 E MKC TO 40 NNE SZL.
..GLEASON..05/04/20
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...EAX...SGF...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 161
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC011-041840-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOURBON
$$
MOC011-013-015-029-037-039-043-057-059-065-067-077-083-085-091-
101-105-107-109-125-131-141-149-153-159-161-167-169-185-203-209-
213-215-217-225-229-041840-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTON BATES BENTON
CAMDEN CASS CEDAR
CHRISTIAN DADE DALLAS
DENT DOUGLAS GREENE
HENRY HICKORY HOWELL
JOHNSON LACLEDE LAFAYETTE
LAWRENCE MARIES MILLER
MORGAN OREGON OZARK
PETTIS PHELPS POLK
PULASKI ST. CLAIR SHANNON
STONE TANEY TEXAS
VERNON WEBSTER WRIGHT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 161
VALID 041645Z - 041740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NW BVO TO
25 N CNU TO 35 SSW OJC TO 15 WNW OJC TO 40 NNE SZL.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 529
..GLEASON..05/04/20
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...EAX...SGF...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 161
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-003-011-021-037-091-099-107-121-125-133-205-207-041740-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN ANDERSON BOURBON
CHEROKEE CRAWFORD JOHNSON
LABETTE LINN MIAMI
MONTGOMERY NEOSHO WILSON
WOODSON
$$
MOC009-011-013-015-029-037-039-043-057-059-065-067-077-083-085-
091-095-097-101-105-107-109-119-125-131-141-145-149-153-159-161-
167-169-185-203-209-213-215-217-225-229-041740-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY BARTON BATES
BENTON CAMDEN CASS
CEDAR CHRISTIAN DADE
DALLAS DENT DOUGLAS
GREENE HENRY HICKORY
HOWELL JACKSON JASPER
JOHNSON LACLEDE LAFAYETTE
LAWRENCE MCDONALD MARIES
MILLER MORGAN NEWTON
OREGON OZARK PETTIS
PHELPS POLK PULASKI
ST. CLAIR SHANNON STONE
TANEY TEXAS VERNON
WEBSTER WRIGHT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 161
VALID 041600Z - 041740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ESE ICT
TO 25 SSW TOP TO 20 NNE TOP TO 30 SSE CDJ.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 529
..GLEASON..05/04/20
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...EAX...SGF...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 161
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-003-011-021-031-037-045-059-073-087-091-099-103-107-111-
121-125-133-139-177-205-207-209-041740-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN ANDERSON BOURBON
CHEROKEE COFFEY CRAWFORD
DOUGLAS FRANKLIN GREENWOOD
JEFFERSON JOHNSON LABETTE
LEAVENWORTH LINN LYON
MIAMI MONTGOMERY NEOSHO
OSAGE SHAWNEE WILSON
WOODSON WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC009-011-013-015-029-037-039-043-047-057-059-065-067-077-083-
085-091-095-097-101-105-107-109-119-125-131-141-145-149-153-159-
161-165-167-169-177-185-203-209-213-215-217-225-229-041740-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY BARTON BATES
BENTON CAMDEN CASS
CEDAR CHRISTIAN CLAY
DADE DALLAS DENT
DOUGLAS GREENE HENRY
HICKORY HOWELL JACKSON
JASPER JOHNSON LACLEDE
LAFAYETTE LAWRENCE MCDONALD
MARIES MILLER MORGAN
NEWTON OREGON OZARK
PETTIS PHELPS PLATTE
POLK PULASKI RAY
ST. CLAIR SHANNON STONE
TANEY TEXAS VERNON
WEBSTER WRIGHT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 161
VALID 041445Z - 041540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSW RSL
TO 25 NE SLN TO 35 WSW BIE.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 528
..GLEASON..05/04/20
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...EAX...SGF...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 161
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-003-005-009-011-013-017-021-027-031-037-041-043-045-053-
059-061-073-085-087-091-099-103-107-111-113-115-117-121-125-127-
131-133-139-149-159-161-169-177-197-201-205-207-209-041540-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN ANDERSON ATCHISON
BARTON BOURBON BROWN
CHASE CHEROKEE CLAY
COFFEY CRAWFORD DICKINSON
DONIPHAN DOUGLAS ELLSWORTH
FRANKLIN GEARY GREENWOOD
JACKSON JEFFERSON JOHNSON
LABETTE LEAVENWORTH LINN
LYON MCPHERSON MARION
MARSHALL MIAMI MONTGOMERY
MORRIS NEMAHA NEOSHO
OSAGE POTTAWATOMIE RICE
RILEY SALINE SHAWNEE
WABAUNSEE WASHINGTON WILSON
WOODSON WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC009-011-013-015-021-029-037-039-043-047-049-057-059-065-067-
077-083-085-091-095-097-101-105-107-109-119-125-131-141-145-149-
153-159-161-165-167-169-177-185-203-209-213-215-217-225-229-
041540-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY BARTON BATES
BENTON BUCHANAN CAMDEN
CASS CEDAR CHRISTIAN
CLAY CLINTON DADE
DALLAS DENT DOUGLAS
GREENE HENRY HICKORY
HOWELL JACKSON JASPER
JOHNSON LACLEDE LAFAYETTE
LAWRENCE MCDONALD MARIES
MILLER MORGAN NEWTON
OREGON OZARK PETTIS
PHELPS PLATTE POLK
PULASKI RAY ST. CLAIR
SHANNON STONE TANEY
TEXAS VERNON WEBSTER
WRIGHT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 161
VALID 041340Z - 041440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WNW RSL
TO 30 NNE RSL TO 35 SSE HSI.
..GLEASON..05/04/20
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...EAX...SGF...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 161
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-003-005-009-011-013-017-021-027-029-031-037-041-043-045-
053-059-061-073-085-087-089-091-099-103-105-107-111-113-115-117-
121-123-125-127-131-133-139-143-149-157-159-161-167-169-177-197-
201-205-207-209-041440-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN ANDERSON ATCHISON
BARTON BOURBON BROWN
CHASE CHEROKEE CLAY
CLOUD COFFEY CRAWFORD
DICKINSON DONIPHAN DOUGLAS
ELLSWORTH FRANKLIN GEARY
GREENWOOD JACKSON JEFFERSON
JEWELL JOHNSON LABETTE
LEAVENWORTH LINCOLN LINN
LYON MCPHERSON MARION
MARSHALL MIAMI MITCHELL
MONTGOMERY MORRIS NEMAHA
NEOSHO OSAGE OTTAWA
POTTAWATOMIE REPUBLIC RICE
RILEY RUSSELL SALINE
SHAWNEE WABAUNSEE WASHINGTON
WILSON WOODSON WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC011-013-015-021-029-037-039-043-047-049-057-059-065-067-077-
083-085-091-095-097-101-105-107-109-125-131-141-145-149-159-161-
165-167-169-177-185-203-215-217-225-229-041440-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTON BATES BENTON
BUCHANAN CAMDEN CASS
CEDAR CHRISTIAN CLAY
CLINTON DADE DALLAS
DENT DOUGLAS GREENE
HENRY HICKORY HOWELL
JACKSON JASPER JOHNSON
LACLEDE LAFAYETTE LAWRENCE
MARIES MILLER MORGAN
NEWTON OREGON PETTIS
PHELPS PLATTE POLK
PULASKI RAY ST. CLAIR
SHANNON TEXAS VERNON
WEBSTER WRIGHT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 161
VALID 041220Z - 041340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..05/04/20
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...EAX...SGF...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 161
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-003-005-009-011-013-017-021-027-029-031-037-041-043-045-
053-059-061-073-085-087-089-091-099-103-105-107-111-113-115-117-
121-123-125-127-131-133-139-141-143-147-149-157-159-161-163-167-
169-177-183-197-201-205-207-209-041340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN ANDERSON ATCHISON
BARTON BOURBON BROWN
CHASE CHEROKEE CLAY
CLOUD COFFEY CRAWFORD
DICKINSON DONIPHAN DOUGLAS
ELLSWORTH FRANKLIN GEARY
GREENWOOD JACKSON JEFFERSON
JEWELL JOHNSON LABETTE
LEAVENWORTH LINCOLN LINN
LYON MCPHERSON MARION
MARSHALL MIAMI MITCHELL
MONTGOMERY MORRIS NEMAHA
NEOSHO OSAGE OSBORNE
OTTAWA PHILLIPS POTTAWATOMIE
REPUBLIC RICE RILEY
ROOKS RUSSELL SALINE
SHAWNEE SMITH WABAUNSEE
WASHINGTON WILSON WOODSON
WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC011-013-015-021-029-037-039-043-047-049-057-059-065-067-077-
083-085-091-095-097-101-105-107-109-125-131-141-145-149-159-161-
165-167-169-177-185-203-215-217-225-229-041340-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTON BATES BENTON
BUCHANAN CAMDEN CASS
CEDAR CHRISTIAN CLAY
CLINTON DADE DALLAS
DENT DOUGLAS GREENE
HENRY HICKORY HOWELL
JACKSON JASPER JOHNSON
LACLEDE LAFAYETTE LAWRENCE
MARIES MILLER MORGAN
NEWTON OREGON PETTIS
PHELPS PLATTE POLK
PULASKI RAY ST. CLAIR
SHANNON TEXAS VERNON
WEBSTER WRIGHT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (50%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.