SEL5
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 425
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1050 PM CDT FRI JUN 3 2011
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          UPPER PENINSULA OF MICHIGAN
          NORTHEAST WISCONSIN
          LAKE SUPERIOR
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 1050 PM
   UNTIL 600 AM CDT.
   
   HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
   MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
   STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 80 MILES SOUTHWEST
   OF HOUGHTON MICHIGAN TO 100 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF ESCANABA
   MICHIGAN.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
   ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 423...WW 424...
   
   DISCUSSION...ELEVATED TSTMS /INCLUDING SUPERCELLS/ OVER WRN LAKE
   SUPERIOR ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST OVERNIGHT...AND POSSIBLY INCREASE
   IN AREAL COVERAGE ALONG THE NRN FRINGE OF THE CAP WHERE LOW-LEVEL
   WAA WILL FOCUS FORCING FOR ASCENT.  THE COMBINATION OF MUCAPE OF
   2000-3000 J/KG AND EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR OF 40-45 KT WILL SERVE TO
   MAINTAIN ORGANIZED STORM MODES WITH A POTENTIAL FOR UPSCALE GROWTH
   INTO AN MCS.  WHILE LARGE HAIL WILL INITIALLY BE THE PRIMARY
   HAZARD...DAMAGING WINDS WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY POSSIBLE IF STORMS
   CAN ORGANIZE A COLD POOL.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 27030.
   
   
   ...MEAD

   SEL5
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 425
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1050 PM CDT FRI JUN 3 2011
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          UPPER PENINSULA OF MICHIGAN
          NORTHEAST WISCONSIN
          LAKE SUPERIOR
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 1050 PM
   UNTIL 600 AM CDT.
   
   WIDELY SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS
   ISOLATED WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
   WIDELY SCATTERED LARGE HAIL TO 2.0 INCHES IN DIAMETER
   ISOLATED TORNADOES
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
   STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 80 MILES SOUTHWEST
   OF HOUGHTON MICHIGAN TO 100 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF ESCANABA
   MICHIGAN.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
   ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 423...WW 424...
   
   DISCUSSION...ELEVATED TSTMS /INCLUDING SUPERCELLS/ OVER WRN LAKE
   SUPERIOR ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST OVERNIGHT...AND POSSIBLY INCREASE
   IN AREAL COVERAGE ALONG THE NRN FRINGE OF THE CAP WHERE LOW-LEVEL
   WAA WILL FOCUS FORCING FOR ASCENT.  THE COMBINATION OF MUCAPE OF
   2000-3000 J/KG AND EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR OF 40-45 KT WILL SERVE TO
   MAINTAIN ORGANIZED STORM MODES WITH A POTENTIAL FOR UPSCALE GROWTH
   INTO AN MCS.  WHILE LARGE HAIL WILL INITIALLY BE THE PRIMARY
   HAZARD...DAMAGING WINDS WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY POSSIBLE IF STORMS
   CAN ORGANIZE A COLD POOL.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 27030.
   
   
   ...MEAD

   SEL5
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 425
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1050 PM CDT FRI JUN 3 2011
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          UPPER PENINSULA OF MICHIGAN
          NORTHEAST WISCONSIN
          LAKE SUPERIOR
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 1050 PM
   UNTIL 600 AM CDT.
   
   HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
   MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
   STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 80 MILES SOUTHWEST
   OF HOUGHTON MICHIGAN TO 100 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF ESCANABA
   MICHIGAN.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
   ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 423...WW 424...
   
   DISCUSSION...ELEVATED TSTMS /INCLUDING SUPERCELLS/ OVER WRN LAKE
   SUPERIOR ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST OVERNIGHT...AND POSSIBLY INCREASE
   IN AREAL COVERAGE ALONG THE NRN FRINGE OF THE CAP WHERE LOW-LEVEL
   WAA WILL FOCUS FORCING FOR ASCENT.  THE COMBINATION OF MUCAPE OF
   2000-3000 J/KG AND EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR OF 40-45 KT WILL SERVE TO
   MAINTAIN ORGANIZED STORM MODES WITH A POTENTIAL FOR UPSCALE GROWTH
   INTO AN MCS.  WHILE LARGE HAIL WILL INITIALLY BE THE PRIMARY
   HAZARD...DAMAGING WINDS WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY POSSIBLE IF STORMS
   CAN ORGANIZE A COLD POOL.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 27030.
   
   
   ...MEAD

   WOUS64 KWNS 040344
   WOU5
   
   BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 425
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1050 PM CDT FRI JUN 3 2011
   
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 425 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 AM CDT
   FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
   
   MIC003-013-041-043-053-061-071-083-095-103-131-153-041100-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0425.110604T0350Z-110604T1100Z/
   
   MI 
   .    MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   ALGER                BARAGA              DELTA               
   DICKINSON            GOGEBIC             HOUGHTON            
   IRON                 KEWEENAW            LUCE                
   MARQUETTE            ONTONAGON           SCHOOLCRAFT         
   
   
   WIC037-041-085-125-041100-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0425.110604T0350Z-110604T1100Z/
   
   WI 
   .    WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   FLORENCE             FOREST              ONEIDA              
   VILAS                
   
   
   LSZ241-242-243-244-245-246-247-248-249-250-251-263-264-265-266-
   267-041100-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0425.110604T0350Z-110604T1100Z/
   
   CW 
   
   .    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
   
   BLACK RIVER TO ONTONAGON MI 
   
   ONTONAGON TO UPPER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE CANAL MI 
   
   UPPER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE CANAL TO EAGLE RIVER MI 
   
   EAGLE RIVER TO MANITOU ISLAND MI 
   
   MANITOU ISLAND TO POINT ISABELLE MI 
   
   POINT ISABELLE TO LOWER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE CANAL MI 
   
   PORTAGE LAKE TO HURON ISLAND MI TO LOWER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE
   CANAL TO HURON ISLANDS MI INCLUDING KEWEENAW AND HURON BAYS 
   
   HURON ISLANDS TO MARQUETTE MI 
   
   MARQUETTE TO MUNISING MI 
   
   MUNISING TO GRAND MARAIS MI 
   
   GRAND MARAIS TO WHITEFISH POINT MI 
   
   LAKE SUPERIOR FROM SAXON HARBOR WI TO UPPER ENTRANCE TO PORTAGE
   CANAL MI 5NM OFF SHORE TO THE US/CANADIAN BORDER INCLUDING ISLE
   ROYAL NATIONAL PARK 
   
   LAKE SUPERIOR FROM UPPER ENTRANCE TO PORTAGE CANAL TO MANITOU
   ISLAND MI 5NM OFF SHORE TO THE US/CANADIAN BORDER 
   
   LAKE SUPERIOR WEST OF LINE FROM MANITOU ISLAND TO MARQUETTE MI
   BEYOND 5NM FROM SHORE 
   
   LAKE SUPERIOR EAST OF A LINE FROM MANITOU ISLAND TO MARQUETTE MI
   AND WEST OF A LINE FROM GRAND MARAIS MI TO THE US/CANADIAN BORDER
   BEYOND 5NM FROM SHORE 
   
   LAKE SUPERIOR FROM GRAND MARAIS MI TO WHITEFISH POINT MI 5NM OFF
   SHORE TO THE US/CANADIAN BORDER 
   
   ATTN...WFO...MQT...GRB...
   
   
   

   SAW5 
   WW 425 SEVERE TSTM MI WI LS 040350Z - 041100Z
   AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
   80SW CMX/HOUGHTON MI/ - 100ENE ESC/ESCANABA MI/
   ..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /44NNW RHI - 37WSW SSM/
   HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
   MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27030.
   
   LAT...LON 47208966 47138516 45388516 45478966
   
   THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
   FOR WOU5.
   

Watch 425 Status Report Messages:

STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 425

VALID 040835Z - 040940Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NNW PLN
TO 35 ENE ESC TO 65 NW ANJ.

..JEWELL..06/04/11

ATTN...WFO...MQT...GRB...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 425 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

MIC003-095-153-040940-

MI 
.    MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALGER		     LUCE		 SCHOOLCRAFT	     
$$


LSZ250-251-267-040940-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

MUNISING TO GRAND MARAIS MI 

GRAND MARAIS TO WHITEFISH POINT MI 

LAKE SUPERIOR FROM GRAND MARAIS MI TO WHITEFISH POINT MI 5NM OFF
SHORE TO THE US/CANADIAN BORDER 

$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 425

VALID 040805Z - 040940Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NNW PLN
TO 35 ENE ESC TO 45 E MQT TO 60 NNW ANJ.

..JEWELL..06/04/11

ATTN...WFO...MQT...GRB...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 425 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

MIC003-041-095-153-040940-

MI 
.    MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALGER		     DELTA		 LUCE		     
SCHOOLCRAFT	     
$$


LSZ249-250-251-267-040940-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

MARQUETTE TO MUNISING MI 

MUNISING TO GRAND MARAIS MI 

GRAND MARAIS TO WHITEFISH POINT MI 

LAKE SUPERIOR FROM GRAND MARAIS MI TO WHITEFISH POINT MI 5NM OFF
SHORE TO THE US/CANADIAN BORDER 

$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 425

VALID 040545Z - 040640Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

..JEWELL..06/04/11

ATTN...WFO...MQT...GRB...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 425 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

MIC003-013-041-043-053-061-071-083-095-103-131-153-040640-

MI 
.    MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALGER		     BARAGA		 DELTA		     
DICKINSON	     GOGEBIC		 HOUGHTON	     
IRON		     KEWEENAW		 LUCE		     
MARQUETTE	     ONTONAGON		 SCHOOLCRAFT	     
$$


WIC037-041-085-125-040640-

WI 
.    WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

FLORENCE	     FOREST		 ONEIDA 	     
VILAS		     
$$


LSZ241-242-243-244-245-246-247-248-249-250-251-263-264-265-266-
267-040640-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

BLACK RIVER TO ONTONAGON MI 

ONTONAGON TO UPPER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE CANAL MI 

UPPER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE CANAL TO EAGLE RIVER MI 

EAGLE RIVER TO MANITOU ISLAND MI 

MANITOU ISLAND TO POINT ISABELLE MI 

POINT ISABELLE TO LOWER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE CANAL MI 

PORTAGE LAKE TO HURON ISLAND MI TO LOWER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE
CANAL TO HURON ISLANDS MI INCLUDING KEWEENAW AND HURON BAYS 

HURON ISLANDS TO MARQUETTE MI 

MARQUETTE TO MUNISING MI 

MUNISING TO GRAND MARAIS MI 

GRAND MARAIS TO WHITEFISH POINT MI 

LAKE SUPERIOR FROM SAXON HARBOR WI TO UPPER ENTRANCE TO PORTAGE
CANAL MI 5NM OFF SHORE TO THE US/CANADIAN BORDER INCLUDING ISLE
ROYAL NATIONAL PARK 

LAKE SUPERIOR FROM UPPER ENTRANCE TO PORTAGE CANAL TO MANITOU
ISLAND MI 5NM OFF SHORE TO THE US/CANADIAN BORDER 

LAKE SUPERIOR WEST OF LINE FROM MANITOU ISLAND TO MARQUETTE MI
BEYOND 5NM FROM SHORE 

LAKE SUPERIOR EAST OF A LINE FROM MANITOU ISLAND TO MARQUETTE MI
AND WEST OF A LINE FROM GRAND MARAIS MI TO THE US/CANADIAN BORDER
BEYOND 5NM FROM SHORE 

LAKE SUPERIOR FROM GRAND MARAIS MI TO WHITEFISH POINT MI 5NM OFF
SHORE TO THE US/CANADIAN BORDER 

$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

Please visit the National Weather Service Interactive Weather Information Network (IWIN) for more information on the warnings.

For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), "Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.