SEL2

   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 92
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   755 PM EDT MON APR 20 2015

   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

   * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
     NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY
     CENTRAL NEW YORK
     NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA

   * EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING FROM 755 PM
     UNTIL 100 AM EDT.

   * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
     ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
     ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

   SUMMARY...A FEW SMALL CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH A RISK FOR HAIL
   AND PERHAPS LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND WILL MOVE GENERALLY NORTHEAST
   ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THROUGH LATE TONIGHT.

   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80
   STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTHEAST OF
   ITHACA NEW YORK TO 50 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF WILLIAMSPORT
   PENNSYLVANIA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
   ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

   PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

   &&

   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 88...WW 89...WW 90...WW
   91...

   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 25030.


   ...CORFIDI

   SEL2

   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 92
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   755 PM EDT MON APR 20 2015

   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

   * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
     NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY
     CENTRAL NEW YORK
     NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA

   * EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING FROM 755 PM
     UNTIL 100 AM EDT.

   * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
     ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
     ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

   SUMMARY...A FEW SMALL CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH A RISK FOR HAIL
   AND PERHAPS LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND WILL MOVE GENERALLY NORTHEAST
   ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THROUGH LATE TONIGHT.

   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80
   STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTHEAST OF
   ITHACA NEW YORK TO 50 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF WILLIAMSPORT
   PENNSYLVANIA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
   ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

   PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

   &&

   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 88...WW 89...WW 90...WW
   91...

   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 25030.


   ...CORFIDI

   WOUS64 KWNS 202354
   WOU2

   BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 92
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   755 PM EDT MON APR 20 2015

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 92 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM EDT
   FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

   NJC019-021-027-035-037-041-210500-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0092.150420T2355Z-150421T0500Z/

   NJ 
   .    NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

   HUNTERDON            MERCER              MORRIS              
   SOMERSET             SUSSEX              WARREN              


   NYC007-011-015-023-097-099-101-107-109-123-210500-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0092.150420T2355Z-150421T0500Z/

   NY 
   .    NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

   BROOME               CAYUGA              CHEMUNG             
   CORTLAND             SCHUYLER            SENECA              
   STEUBEN              TIOGA               TOMPKINS            
   YATES                


   PAC015-025-069-079-089-095-103-115-127-131-210500-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0092.150420T2355Z-150421T0500Z/

   PA 
   .    PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

   BRADFORD             CARBON              LACKAWANNA          
   LUZERNE              MONROE              NORTHAMPTON         
   PIKE                 SUSQUEHANNA         WAYNE               
   WYOMING              


   ATTN...WFO...PHI...BGM...BUF...

   SAW2 
   WW 92 SEVERE TSTM NJ NY PA 202355Z - 210500Z
   AXIS..80 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
   35NE ITH/ITHACA NY/ - 50SSE IPT/WILLIAMSPORT PA/
   ..AVIATION COORDS.. 70NM E/W /22SSE SYR - 30NE HAR/
   HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
   MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25030.

   LAT...LON 42837437 40567502 40567808 42837754

   THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
   FOR WOU2.

Watch 92 Status Report Messages:

STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 92

VALID 210330Z - 210440Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WSW ABE
TO 20 S UCA.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 409

..COHEN..04/21/15

ATTN...WFO...PHI...BGM...BUF...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 92 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

NJC019-021-027-035-037-041-210440-

NJ 
.    NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

HUNTERDON	     MERCER		 MORRIS 	     
SOMERSET	     SUSSEX		 WARREN 	     
$$


PAC025-069-079-089-095-103-127-210440-

PA 
.    PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CARBON		     LACKAWANNA 	 LUZERNE	     
MONROE		     NORTHAMPTON	 PIKE		     
WAYNE		     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 92

VALID 210240Z - 210340Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNE CXY
TO 25 SE SYR.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 409

..COHEN..04/21/15

ATTN...WFO...PHI...BGM...BUF...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 92 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

NJC019-021-027-035-037-041-210340-

NJ 
.    NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

HUNTERDON	     MERCER		 MORRIS 	     
SOMERSET	     SUSSEX		 WARREN 	     
$$


NYC007-210340-

NY 
.    NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BROOME		     
$$


PAC025-069-079-089-095-103-115-127-131-210340-

PA 
.    PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CARBON		     LACKAWANNA 	 LUZERNE	     
MONROE		     NORTHAMPTON	 PIKE		     
SUSQUEHANNA	     WAYNE		 WYOMING	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 92

VALID 210135Z - 210240Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 407

..COHEN..04/21/15

ATTN...WFO...PHI...BGM...BUF...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 92 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

NJC019-021-027-035-037-041-210240-

NJ 
.    NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

HUNTERDON	     MERCER		 MORRIS 	     
SOMERSET	     SUSSEX		 WARREN 	     
$$


NYC007-011-015-023-097-099-101-107-109-123-210240-

NY 
.    NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BROOME		     CAYUGA		 CHEMUNG	     
CORTLAND	     SCHUYLER		 SENECA 	     
STEUBEN 	     TIOGA		 TOMPKINS	     
YATES		     
$$


PAC015-025-069-079-089-095-103-115-127-131-210240-

PA 
.    PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BRADFORD	     CARBON		 LACKAWANNA	     
LUZERNE 	     MONROE		 NORTHAMPTON	     
PIKE		     SUSQUEHANNA	 WAYNE		     
WYOMING 	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 92

VALID 210030Z - 210140Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 407

..COHEN..04/21/15

ATTN...WFO...PHI...BGM...BUF...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 92 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

NJC019-021-027-035-037-041-210140-

NJ 
.    NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

HUNTERDON	     MERCER		 MORRIS 	     
SOMERSET	     SUSSEX		 WARREN 	     
$$


NYC007-011-015-023-097-099-101-107-109-123-210140-

NY 
.    NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BROOME		     CAYUGA		 CHEMUNG	     
CORTLAND	     SCHUYLER		 SENECA 	     
STEUBEN 	     TIOGA		 TOMPKINS	     
YATES		     
$$


PAC015-025-069-079-089-095-103-115-127-131-210140-

PA 
.    PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BRADFORD	     CARBON		 LACKAWANNA	     
LUZERNE 	     MONROE		 NORTHAMPTON	     
PIKE		     SUSQUEHANNA	 WAYNE		     
WYOMING 	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

Please visit the National Weather Service Interactive Weather Information Network (IWIN) for more information on the warnings.

For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), "Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.