Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 322
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1210 PM CDT SUN JUN 21 2015
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EXTREME WESTERN ILLINOIS
EXTREME NORTHEAST KANSAS
CENTRAL MISSOURI
* EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON FROM 1210 PM UNTIL 500 PM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS TO 75
MPH POSSIBLE
ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON FROM NORTHEAST KANSAS ACROSS MISSOURI AND INTO WESTERN
ILLINOIS. IN ADDITION TO SPORADIC LARGE HAIL SOME STORMS MAY POSE AN
INCREASING RISK FOR DAMAGING WINDS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES WEST OF
LEAVENWORTH KANSAS TO 75 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF JEFFERSON CITY
MISSOURI. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
&&
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 65
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 29035.
...CARBIN
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 322 SEVERE TSTM IL KS MO 211710Z - 212200Z
AXIS..50 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
35W FLV/LEAVENWORTH KS/ - 75ENE JEF/JEFFERSON CITY MO/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 45NM N/S /39W MCI - 20WNW STL/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29035.
LAT...LON 40089558 39729086 38279086 38639558
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 322 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 322
VALID 212040Z - 212140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..06/21/15
ATTN...WFO...LSX...EAX...TOP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 322
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC013-149-212140-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALHOUN PIKE
$$
KSC005-013-043-085-087-103-209-212140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATCHISON BROWN DONIPHAN
JACKSON JEFFERSON LEAVENWORTH
WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC003-007-019-021-025-027-033-041-047-049-051-053-061-063-073-
087-089-095-101-107-113-117-135-137-139-151-159-163-165-173-175-
177-195-219-212140-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREW AUDRAIN BOONE
BUCHANAN CALDWELL CALLAWAY
CARROLL CHARITON CLAY
CLINTON COLE COOPER
DAVIESS DEKALB GASCONADE
HOLT HOWARD JACKSON
JOHNSON LAFAYETTE LINCOLN
LIVINGSTON MONITEAU MONROE
MONTGOMERY OSAGE PETTIS
PIKE PLATTE RALLS
RANDOLPH RAY SALINE
WARREN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 322
VALID 211925Z - 212040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..06/21/15
ATTN...WFO...LSX...EAX...TOP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 322
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC013-149-212040-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALHOUN PIKE
$$
KSC005-013-043-085-087-103-209-212040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATCHISON BROWN DONIPHAN
JACKSON JEFFERSON LEAVENWORTH
WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC003-007-019-021-025-027-033-041-047-049-051-053-061-063-073-
087-089-095-101-107-113-117-135-137-139-151-159-163-165-173-175-
177-195-219-212040-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREW AUDRAIN BOONE
BUCHANAN CALDWELL CALLAWAY
CARROLL CHARITON CLAY
CLINTON COLE COOPER
DAVIESS DEKALB GASCONADE
HOLT HOWARD JACKSON
JOHNSON LAFAYETTE LINCOLN
LIVINGSTON MONITEAU MONROE
MONTGOMERY OSAGE PETTIS
PIKE PLATTE RALLS
RANDOLPH RAY SALINE
WARREN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
@NWSSPC
