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The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 323
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
320 PM EDT SUN JUN 21 2015
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EASTERN KENTUCKY
WESTERN VIRGINIA
SOUTHERN WEST VIRGINIA
* EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 320 PM UNTIL
800 PM EDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ALONG WEAK OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM
SOUTHERN WV WEST ACROSS KY WILL TAP STRONG INSTABILITY AND INTENSIFY
THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON. NORTHWESTERLY MID-LEVEL FLOW OF 30-35KT
WILL CONTRIBUTE TO SUFFICIENT SHEAR FOR SOME STORM
ORGANIZATION/PERSISTENCE WITH STORM CLUSTERS AND LINE SEGMENTS
POSING PRIMARILY A RISK OF STRONG TO DAMAGING WINDS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 35
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES NORTH
NORTHWEST OF BOWLING GREEN KENTUCKY TO 45 MILES NORTHEAST OF
ROANOKE VIRGINIA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 322...
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 28025.
...CARBIN
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 323 SEVERE TSTM KY VA WV 211920Z - 220000Z
AXIS..35 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
15NNW BWG/BOWLING GREEN KY/ - 45NE ROA/ROANOKE VA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 30NM N/S /15NNW BWG - 33NNW LYH/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28025.
LAT...LON 37688651 38297940 37277940 36658651
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 323 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 323
VALID 212040Z - 212140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..06/21/15
ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...RNK...MRX...RLX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 323
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC001-009-013-021-025-031-045-051-061-065-071-079-085-087-093-
095-099-109-113-115-119-121-123-125-129-131-133-137-141-147-151-
153-155-159-167-169-179-183-189-193-195-197-199-203-207-217-227-
229-231-235-237-212140-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR BARREN BELL
BOYLE BREATHITT BUTLER
CASEY CLAY EDMONSON
ESTILL FLOYD GARRARD
GRAYSON GREEN HARDIN
HARLAN HART JACKSON
JESSAMINE JOHNSON KNOTT
KNOX LARUE LAUREL
LEE LESLIE LETCHER
LINCOLN LOGAN MCCREARY
MADISON MAGOFFIN MARION
MARTIN MERCER METCALFE
NELSON OHIO OWSLEY
PERRY PIKE POWELL
PULASKI ROCKCASTLE RUSSELL
TAYLOR WARREN WASHINGTON
WAYNE WHITLEY WOLFE
$$
VAC005-017-019-021-023-027-045-051-071-105-121-155-161-163-167-
169-185-191-195-520-530-580-678-720-750-770-775-212140-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEGHANY BATH BEDFORD
BLAND BOTETOURT BUCHANAN
CRAIG DICKENSON GILES
LEE MONTGOMERY PULASKI
ROANOKE ROCKBRIDGE RUSSELL
SCOTT TAZEWELL WASHINGTON
WISE
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BRISTOL BUENA VISTA COVINGTON
LEXINGTON NORTON RADFORD
ROANOKE SALEM
$$
WVC005-019-025-045-047-055-059-063-081-089-109-212140-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOONE FAYETTE GREENBRIER
LOGAN MCDOWELL MERCER
MINGO MONROE RALEIGH
SUMMERS WYOMING
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (<5%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
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