Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 585
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
935 PM CST Tue Dec 13 2022
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Central to southwest Louisiana
Far southeast Texas
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Tuesday night and Wednesday morning from 935 PM
until 400 AM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...A conditional threat for a few tornadoes will persist
through early morning with a slow-moving thunderstorm line and
discrete cells ahead of it.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles
north and south of a line from 35 miles east of Alexandria LA to 35
miles north of Port Arthur TX. For a complete depiction of the watch
see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 583...WW 584...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 23030.
...Grams
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 585 TORNADO LA TX CW 140335Z - 141000Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
35E ESF/ALEXANDRIA LA/ - 35N BPT/PORT ARTHUR TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM N/S /42ENE AEX - 51WNW LCH/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23030.
LAT...LON 30469171 29529402 31409402 32349171
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 585 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 585
VALID 140940Z - 141040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WSW BPT
TO 20 W LCH TO 35 SSE POE TO 30 SW HEZ.
..LEITMAN..12/14/22
ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 585
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC001-003-009-019-023-039-053-097-141040-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ACADIA ALLEN AVOYELLES
CALCASIEU CAMERON EVANGELINE
JEFFERSON DAVIS ST. LANDRY
$$
TXC245-141040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JEFFERSON
$$
GMZ430-432-141040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
SABINE LAKE
CALCASIEU LAKE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 585
VALID 140840Z - 140940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NW BPT TO
35 NW LCH TO 25 ESE POE TO 25 E ESF TO 10 WNW HEZ.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2027
..LEITMAN..12/14/22
ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 585
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC001-003-009-011-019-023-039-053-079-097-140940-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ACADIA ALLEN AVOYELLES
BEAUREGARD CALCASIEU CAMERON
EVANGELINE JEFFERSON DAVIS RAPIDES
ST. LANDRY
$$
TXC245-361-140940-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JEFFERSON ORANGE
$$
GMZ430-432-140940-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
SABINE LAKE
CALCASIEU LAKE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 585
VALID 140735Z - 140840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNW BPT
TO 20 E POE TO 25 NW HEZ.
..LEITMAN..12/14/22
ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 585
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC001-003-009-011-019-023-039-053-059-079-097-140840-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ACADIA ALLEN AVOYELLES
BEAUREGARD CALCASIEU CAMERON
EVANGELINE JEFFERSON DAVIS LA SALLE
RAPIDES ST. LANDRY
$$
TXC241-245-351-361-140840-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JASPER JEFFERSON NEWTON
ORANGE
$$
GMZ430-432-140840-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
SABINE LAKE
CALCASIEU LAKE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 585
VALID 140640Z - 140740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SE LFK TO
25 NNE POE TO 40 SE MLU.
..LEITMAN..12/14/22
ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 585
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC001-003-009-011-019-023-039-053-059-079-097-115-140740-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ACADIA ALLEN AVOYELLES
BEAUREGARD CALCASIEU CAMERON
EVANGELINE JEFFERSON DAVIS LA SALLE
RAPIDES ST. LANDRY VERNON
$$
TXC241-245-351-361-140740-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JASPER JEFFERSON NEWTON
ORANGE
$$
GMZ430-432-140740-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
SABINE LAKE
CALCASIEU LAKE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 585
VALID 140545Z - 140640Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..12/14/22
ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 585
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC001-003-009-011-019-021-023-039-043-049-053-059-069-073-079-
097-115-127-140640-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ACADIA ALLEN AVOYELLES
BEAUREGARD CALCASIEU CALDWELL
CAMERON EVANGELINE GRANT
JACKSON JEFFERSON DAVIS LA SALLE
NATCHITOCHES OUACHITA RAPIDES
ST. LANDRY VERNON WINN
$$
TXC241-245-351-361-140640-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JASPER JEFFERSON NEWTON
ORANGE
$$
GMZ430-432-140640-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
SABINE LAKE
CALCASIEU LAKE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Mod (30%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
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