Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 43
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
255 AM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
East-Central into Southeast and East Texas
* Effective this Saturday morning from 255 AM until 1000 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Widely scattered to scattered storms are forecast to
continue to develop and intensify overnight into the morning across
the Watch area. The stronger storms will be supercells capable of a
large-hail and damaging-wind risk. A tornado cannot be ruled out as
storms approach the Sabine River during the morning.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75
statute miles north and south of a line from 55 miles west southwest
of College Station TX to 50 miles east southeast of Longview TX. For
a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 36...WW 37...WW 38...WW
40...WW 41...WW 42...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
24040.
...Smith
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 43 SEVERE TSTM TX 150755Z - 151500Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
55WSW CLL/COLLEGE STATION TX/ - 50ESE GGG/LONGVIEW TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM N/S /17ESE CWK - 41S EIC/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.
LAT...LON 31369722 33189393 31029393 29199722
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 43 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 43
VALID 151120Z - 151500Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 W IER TO
35 SSE GGG TO 20 NE GGG TO 25 SSE TXK.
WW 43 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 151500Z.
..SQUITIERI..03/15/25
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SHV...HGX...EWX...LCH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 43
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC203-365-419-151500-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HARRISON PANOLA SHELBY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
@NWSSPC
