Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 204
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
855 PM CDT Wed May 11 2022
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Eastern Minnesota
Northern Wisconsin
* Effective this Wednesday night and Thursday morning from 855 PM
until 200 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...A well-developed line of severe thunderstorms will
continue to move east-northeastward on the northern edge of a moist
and unstable airmass. The line is expected to pose a wind-damage and
isolated large hail threat from far eastern Minnesota into northern
Wisconsin through early tonight.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45
statute miles north and south of a line from 95 miles west southwest
of Kennedy WI to 45 miles south southeast of Ironwood MI. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 202...WW 203...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
26035.
...Broyles
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 204 SEVERE TSTM MN WI 120155Z - 120700Z
AXIS..45 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
95WSW ASX/KENNEDY WI/ - 45SSE IWD/IRONWOOD MI/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 40NM N/S /53SSW DLH - 22NW RHI/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26035.
LAT...LON 46659275 46588977 45288977 45359275
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 204 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 204
VALID 120540Z - 120700Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NE EAU TO
35 W RHI TO 10 NNW IWD.
WW 204 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 120700Z.
..GLEASON..05/12/22
ATTN...WFO...DLH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 204
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
WIC099-120700-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
PRICE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 204
VALID 120420Z - 120540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NNE EAU
TO 15 WNW ASX.
..HART..05/12/22
ATTN...WFO...DLH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 204
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
WIC099-113-120540-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
PRICE SAWYER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
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