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Apr 24, 2017 Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Updated: Mon Apr 24 18:57:04 UTC 2017 (Print Version | 20170424 2000Z Day 2 FireWX shapefile | 20170424 2000Z Day 2 FireWX KML)
Day 2 Fire
 Population  Cities/Towns  CWAs  Interstates  Counties  FEMA Regions  Day 2 Surface Analysis

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
Critical 49,738 1,213,635 El Paso, TX...Las Cruces, NM...Roswell, NM...Socorro, TX...Hobbs, NM...
   FNUS22 KWNS 241852

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0152 PM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

   Valid 251200Z - 261200Z


   No changes have been made to the critical area across parts of
   southern NM into west TX with this update. The surrounding elevated
   delineation has been expanded westward to include more of
   southern/central AZ into the lower CO River Valley. Strong/gusty
   westerly to northwesterly winds are expected as a mid-level jet
   overspreads this region through Tuesday afternoon. Sustained winds
   of 20-30 mph appear probable, with RH values falling into the 15-20%
   range. Localized critical conditions may occur where RH values fall
   below 15%, but current expectations are for this to occur across
   portions of southern/central AZ and the lower CO River Valley on
   just a brief/spotty basis, precluding a critical area at this time.

   The elevated area has also been expanded eastward slightly to
   encompass more of the southern Plains. Latest guidance suggests
   strong southwesterly mid-level winds will be transported to the
   surface through diurnal mixing processes behind an eastward-mixing
   dryline. Related downslope warming/drying will easily allow RH
   values to become critically lowered across a broad portion of west
   TX behind the dryline. However, many areas across this region have
   reported green-up of most fuels, which may hamper large fire starts
   and spread. Therefore, these generally unreceptive fuels preclude
   the eastward expansion of the ongoing critical area.

   ..Gleason.. 04/24/2017

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1153 PM CDT Sun Apr 23 2017/

   An upper trough is expected to move from the Four Corners/Southwest
   into the southern Plains on Tuesday, as a cold front sweeps through
   much of the central Plains. Dry westerly flow will result in another
   day of elevated to critical conditions across portions of New Mexico
   into West Texas. 

   ...New Mexico and adjacent portions of southeast Arizona and west
   While temperatures may be somewhat cooler compared to Monday, dry,
   warm, and windy conditions are expected to persist across portions
   of NM and adjacent portions of southeast AZ and west TX. Minimum RH
   values of 8-15% combined with sustained westerly winds of 20-30 MPH
   will result in critical fire weather conditions across primarily
   southern New Mexico into West Texas. Surrounding the critical area,
   a broad area of elevated conditions is expected, with the
   progression of the cold front defining the northern extent of
   elevated wind/RH.

   ...Please see for graphic product...


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