El Paso, TX...Lubbock, TX...Amarillo, TX...Pueblo, CO...Las Cruces, NM...
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 241755
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1255 PM CDT Sat Mar 24 2018
Valid 251200Z - 261200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR FROM PARTS OF THE DESERT SOUTHWEST
TO THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...
No major changes have been made to the ongoing forecast. The
critical area has been expanded slightly eastward across the Texas
High Plains, owing to favorably enhanced 850-700mb southwesterly
flow, its impact on deep mixing/drying over the region, and a
related uptick in potential for critical conditions. Otherwise, see
below for more details.
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0154 AM CDT Sat Mar 24 2018/
Large-scale upper troughing over the western states will move only
slowly eastward on Day 2/Sunday. Much of the Southwest and
southern/central Plains will remain beneath enhanced southwesterly
mid-level winds. Forcing for ascent preceding the upper trough will
encourage lee cyclone development across the central High Plains by
Sunday afternoon, with a dryline extending southward from this low
across the southern High Plains.
...Portions of the Southwest into the Southern/Central High
Strong/gusty southwesterly winds of 20-30 mph will likely develop
once again on Day 2/Sunday from parts of the Southwest into the
southern/central High Plains. A broad area of critical fire weather
conditions is forecast across this region where these strong winds
should overlap RH values of 7-15% and dry to very dry fuels.
High-end critical conditions may occur from northeastern NM into
parts of the TX/OK Panhandles, where sustained winds could approach
30 mph in combination with RH values below 10%. Some model
disagreement remains concerning the location of the dryline Sunday
afternoon, which will impact the eastward extent of possible
elevated/critical conditions for the central/southern High Plains.
For now, have made some eastward expansions to these areas, but
additional adjustments eastward may be needed if current model
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
CLICK FOR DAY 2 FIREWX AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT (KWNSPFWFD2)