ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 141717
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1117 AM CST TUE FEB 14 2012
   
   VALID 151200Z - 161200Z
   
   ONLY CHANGE THIS FORECAST UPDATE IS TO DELINEATE ELEVATED FIRE
   WEATHER CONDITIONS BEING POSSIBLE IN AREAS ACROSS PARTS OF W-CNTRL
   TX...PARTICULARLY IN THE TX BIG COUNTRY.  THE FORECAST REMAINS
   LARGELY ON TRACK AND NO OTHER CHANGE IS FORESEEN.
   
   ..SMITH.. 02/14/2012
   
   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0303 AM CST TUE FEB 14 2012/
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   IN THE MID/UPPER-LEVELS...A SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE CNTRL/SRN HIGH
   PLAINS WILL DEAMPLIFY AS IT QUICKLY TRACKS NEWD TOWARD THE MID MS
   AND OH VALLEY REGION. SE OF THE TRACK OF THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH...A
   BELT OF MODERATE TO STRONG MID/UPPER-LEVEL WSWLY FLOW WILL EXTEND
   NEWD FROM TX TO THE CNTRL/SRN APPALACHIANS. IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE
   SHORTWAVE TROUGH...A SFC LOW WILL SHIFT EWD/ENEWD FROM THE TX/OK
   PANHANDLE AREA TOWARD THE GREAT LAKES AND OH VALLEY REGION. A COLD
   FRONT EXTENDING SOUTH OF THE SFC LOW WILL TRANSLATE EWD ACROSS THE
   SRN PLAINS AND WILL USHER A DRY AIR MASS INTO PARTS OF THE SRN
   PLAINS.
   
   ...SERN/E-CNTRL NM...W-CNTRL/SWRN/CNTRL TX...
   WLY TO WNWLY WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS ARE EXPECTED
   FOR LATE MORNING INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON. AS THE DRY AIR MASS
   OVERSPREADS THE AREA...WITH ADDITIONAL BOUNDARY-LAYER DRYING
   SUPPORTED BY DOWNSLOPE EFFECTS...RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL INTO
   THE MIDDLE TEENS TO THE MIDDLE 20S DURING THE MID/LATE AFTERNOON
   HOURS. THE COMBINATION OF THESE FACTORS MAY YIELD ELEVATED FIRE
   WEATHER CONDITIONS. HOWEVER...MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS INDICATES A
   RELAXATION OF THE PRESSURE GRADIENT AS THE AFOREMENTIONED SFC LOW
   MOVES AWAY FROM THE AREA...WITH A CORRESPONDING DECREASE IN
   SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS THROUGH THE DAY. WHILE RH VALUES MAY REACH
   CRITICAL THRESHOLDS IN SOME AREAS DURING THE MID/LATE
   AFTERNOON...THE DURATION OF ANY CRITICALLY STRONG WINDS BEING
   JUXTAPOSED WITH CRITICALLY LOW RH VALUES IS EXPECTED TO BE BRIEF
   THUS MITIGATING THE FIRE WEATHER THREAT. FURTHERMORE...THE
   OCCURRENCE OF RECENT PRECIPITATION ACROSS A LARGE PART OF THE AREA
   WILL ALSO MITIGATE THE FIRE WEATHER THREAT. ACCORDINGLY...NO
   HIGHLIGHTS ARE BEING INCLUDED AT THIS TIME.
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
   CLICK FOR DAY 2 FIREWX AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT (KWNSPFWFD2)