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< Day 1 FW Outlook   Day 3-8 FW Outlook >
May 18, 2013 Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Updated: Sat May 18 17:26:03 UTC 2013  (Print Version)
Day 2 Fire
 Population  Cities/Towns  CWAs  Interstates  Counties  FEMA Regions  Day 2 Surface Analysis

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
Critical 74,302 1,290,837 Lubbock, TX...Amarillo, TX...Midland, TX...Roswell, NM...Clovis, NM...
   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 181724
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1224 PM CDT SAT MAY 18 2013
   
   VALID 191200Z - 201200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF CNTRL AND ERN NM INTO
   NW TX...
   
   ...PORTIONS OF CNTRL AND ERN NM INTO NW TX...
   ONLY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO THIS AREA BASED ON EXPECTED HUMIDITY AND
   TEMPERATURES WITH EXPECTED DRY LINE AND FRONTAL POSITIONS AT MID
   AFTERNOON ON SUNDAY.
   
   ...INLAND PTNS NRN TO SRN CA...
   HAVE ADDED THE SEE TEXT AREA FOR MAINLY THE INLAND PTNS OF NRN TO
   SRN CA.  AFTER THE UPPER TROUGH MOVES WELL EAST OF THE
   AREA...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE NRN GREAT BASIN
   WITH AN INVERTED SFC TROUGH STRENGTHENING ALONG THE CA COAST. 
   DURING SUNDAY...INTO MONDAY MORNING...WARMING AND DRYING NLY WINDS
   IN NRN CA AND MORE NELY IN SRN CA WILL SET UP.  FUELS ARE VERY DRY
   FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR AND WITH WARMING AND DRYING SETTING UP ALONG
   WITH SOME N/NELY WINDS INCREASING IN THE SUNDAY NIGHT/MONDAY MORNING
   TIME FRAME...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE.
   
   ...SRN NM INTO SW TX...
   NO CHANGE.
   
   ..BOTHWELL.. 05/18/2013
   
   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0159 AM CDT SAT MAY 18 2013/
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   ...PORTIONS OF CNTRL AND ERN NM INTO NW TX...
   AN UPPER TROUGH WILL SLOWLY PROGRESS EWD FROM THE HIGH PLAINS TOWARD
   THE CNTRL AND SRN PLAINS ON SUNDAY. STRONG WLY DEEP LAYER FLOW IN
   THE BASE OF THE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO OVERSPREAD THE SOUTHWEST
   DESERTS INTO THE SRN PLAINS. AT THE SFC...LOW PRESSURE OVER SRN
   KS/NRN OK WILL SLOWLY MIGRATE EWD DURING THE AFTERNOON. A DRY LINE
   WILL EXTEND SWD FROM THIS LOW ACROSS WRN OK INTO NW TX WHILE A COLD
   FRONT MOVES E/SE INTO THE OK/TX PANHANDLES DURING THE AFTERNOON.
   BEHIND THE DRY LINE AND AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT...A VERY DRY AND
   WARM AIRMASS WILL REMAIN OVER THE CRITICAL AREA. AS TEMPERATURE WARM
   INTO THE 90S...RH VALUES WILL FALL INTO THE 5-10 PERCENT RANGE. AS
   DEEP BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING OCCURS...W/SW WIND FROM 15-25 MPH ARE
   EXPECTED. SOME RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE ACROSS NRN PARTS OF THIS AREA
   DURING DAY 1/SAT...BUT AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LOW AND BREEZY
   WINDS WOULD QUICKLY DRY OUT FINE FUELS. 
   
   ...SRN NM INTO SW TX...
   TO THE SOUTH OF THE CRITICAL AREA...DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS ARE
   EXPECTED...SIMILAR TO THOSE ACROSS THE CRITICAL AREA. HOWEVER...WIND
   SPEEDS WILL BE LIGHTER /10-15 MPH/ FURTHER REMOVED FROM STRONGER SFC
   PRESSURE GRADIENT AND FASTER MID AND UPPER LEVEL WINDS.
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
   CLICK FOR DAY 2 FIREWX AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT (KWNSPFWFD2)

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Page last modified: May 18, 2013
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