ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 181724
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1224 PM CDT SAT MAY 18 2013
VALID 191200Z - 201200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF CNTRL AND ERN NM INTO
NW TX...
...PORTIONS OF CNTRL AND ERN NM INTO NW TX...
ONLY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO THIS AREA BASED ON EXPECTED HUMIDITY AND
TEMPERATURES WITH EXPECTED DRY LINE AND FRONTAL POSITIONS AT MID
AFTERNOON ON SUNDAY.
...INLAND PTNS NRN TO SRN CA...
HAVE ADDED THE SEE TEXT AREA FOR MAINLY THE INLAND PTNS OF NRN TO
SRN CA. AFTER THE UPPER TROUGH MOVES WELL EAST OF THE
AREA...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE NRN GREAT BASIN
WITH AN INVERTED SFC TROUGH STRENGTHENING ALONG THE CA COAST.
DURING SUNDAY...INTO MONDAY MORNING...WARMING AND DRYING NLY WINDS
IN NRN CA AND MORE NELY IN SRN CA WILL SET UP. FUELS ARE VERY DRY
FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR AND WITH WARMING AND DRYING SETTING UP ALONG
WITH SOME N/NELY WINDS INCREASING IN THE SUNDAY NIGHT/MONDAY MORNING
TIME FRAME...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE.
...SRN NM INTO SW TX...
NO CHANGE.
..BOTHWELL.. 05/18/2013
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0159 AM CDT SAT MAY 18 2013/
...SYNOPSIS...
...PORTIONS OF CNTRL AND ERN NM INTO NW TX...
AN UPPER TROUGH WILL SLOWLY PROGRESS EWD FROM THE HIGH PLAINS TOWARD
THE CNTRL AND SRN PLAINS ON SUNDAY. STRONG WLY DEEP LAYER FLOW IN
THE BASE OF THE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO OVERSPREAD THE SOUTHWEST
DESERTS INTO THE SRN PLAINS. AT THE SFC...LOW PRESSURE OVER SRN
KS/NRN OK WILL SLOWLY MIGRATE EWD DURING THE AFTERNOON. A DRY LINE
WILL EXTEND SWD FROM THIS LOW ACROSS WRN OK INTO NW TX WHILE A COLD
FRONT MOVES E/SE INTO THE OK/TX PANHANDLES DURING THE AFTERNOON.
BEHIND THE DRY LINE AND AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT...A VERY DRY AND
WARM AIRMASS WILL REMAIN OVER THE CRITICAL AREA. AS TEMPERATURE WARM
INTO THE 90S...RH VALUES WILL FALL INTO THE 5-10 PERCENT RANGE. AS
DEEP BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING OCCURS...W/SW WIND FROM 15-25 MPH ARE
EXPECTED. SOME RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE ACROSS NRN PARTS OF THIS AREA
DURING DAY 1/SAT...BUT AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LOW AND BREEZY
WINDS WOULD QUICKLY DRY OUT FINE FUELS.
...SRN NM INTO SW TX...
TO THE SOUTH OF THE CRITICAL AREA...DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED...SIMILAR TO THOSE ACROSS THE CRITICAL AREA. HOWEVER...WIND
SPEEDS WILL BE LIGHTER /10-15 MPH/ FURTHER REMOVED FROM STRONGER SFC
PRESSURE GRADIENT AND FASTER MID AND UPPER LEVEL WINDS.
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
CLICK FOR DAY 2 FIREWX AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT (KWNSPFWFD2)