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< Day 1 FW Outlook   Day 3-8 FW Outlook >
May 24, 2013 Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Updated: Fri May 24 10:00:03 UTC 2013  (Print Version)
Day 2 Fire
 Population  Cities/Towns  CWAs  Interstates  Counties  FEMA Regions  Day 2 Surface Analysis

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
Critical 99,746 1,078,509 Flagstaff, AZ...St. George, UT...Farmington, NM...Gallup, NM...Payson, AZ...
   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 240958

   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0458 AM CDT FRI MAY 24 2013

   VALID 251200Z - 261200Z

   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR FAR SOUTHERN NEVADA...EXTREME
   SOUTHERN UTAH...NORTHERN ARIZONA...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST NEW
   MEXICO...AND SOUTHWEST COLORADO...

   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN UPPER LOW IS FORECAST TO REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY ACROSS THE
   PACIFIC NORTHWEST AS A SERIES OF SUBTLE SHORTWAVE TROUGHS ROTATES
   THROUGH THE LARGER SCALE FLOW AROUND THIS LOW ON SATURDAY. 

   ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN STATES...A ZONE OF ENHANCED WEST/SOUTHWEST
   FLOW IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH SATURDAY. HERE /ONCE AGAIN/
   STRONG INSOLATION SHOULD RESULT IN DEEP MIXING OF A PERSISTENTLY DRY
   BOUNDARY LAYER...RESULTING IN WARM DAYTIME TEMPERATURES /80S AND
   90S/ AND LOW AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO
   LOW TEENS FOR MUCH OF THE DAY. ADDITIONALLY...GIVEN THE RELATIVELY
   STRONG FLOW ALOFT AND THE FORECAST DEEP MIXING...STRONG/GUSTY SFC
   WINDS /20-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30/ SHOULD DEVELOP...WARRANTING THE
   CRITICAL RISK.

   ...SOUTHERN ARIZONA...
   CONDITIONS HERE APPEAR TO BE SIMILAR TO THOSE FARTHER NORTH IN THE
   CRITICAL AREA. ONE MITIGATING FACTOR IN THIS AREA IS THAT IT THIS
   AREA IS A LITTLE MORE REMOVED FROM THE STRONG MID-LEVEL FLOW AND
   THUS AFTERNOON MIXING SHOULD RESULT IN SLIGHTLY WEAKER SFC WINDS
   NEARING...BUT NOT ACHIEVING...CRITICAL THRESHOLDS FOR THE REQUISITE
   DURATION /3 HRS/.

   ..MARSH.. 05/24/2013

   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

   CLICK FOR DAY 2 FIREWX AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT (KWNSPFWFD2)

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Page last modified: May 24, 2013
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