El Paso, TX...Las Cruces, NM...Roswell, NM...Socorro, TX...Hobbs, NM...
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 241852
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0152 PM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017
Valid 251200Z - 261200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO
INTO WEST TEXAS...
No changes have been made to the critical area across parts of
southern NM into west TX with this update. The surrounding elevated
delineation has been expanded westward to include more of
southern/central AZ into the lower CO River Valley. Strong/gusty
westerly to northwesterly winds are expected as a mid-level jet
overspreads this region through Tuesday afternoon. Sustained winds
of 20-30 mph appear probable, with RH values falling into the 15-20%
range. Localized critical conditions may occur where RH values fall
below 15%, but current expectations are for this to occur across
portions of southern/central AZ and the lower CO River Valley on
just a brief/spotty basis, precluding a critical area at this time.
The elevated area has also been expanded eastward slightly to
encompass more of the southern Plains. Latest guidance suggests
strong southwesterly mid-level winds will be transported to the
surface through diurnal mixing processes behind an eastward-mixing
dryline. Related downslope warming/drying will easily allow RH
values to become critically lowered across a broad portion of west
TX behind the dryline. However, many areas across this region have
reported green-up of most fuels, which may hamper large fire starts
and spread. Therefore, these generally unreceptive fuels preclude
the eastward expansion of the ongoing critical area.
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1153 PM CDT Sun Apr 23 2017/
An upper trough is expected to move from the Four Corners/Southwest
into the southern Plains on Tuesday, as a cold front sweeps through
much of the central Plains. Dry westerly flow will result in another
day of elevated to critical conditions across portions of New Mexico
into West Texas.
...New Mexico and adjacent portions of southeast Arizona and west
While temperatures may be somewhat cooler compared to Monday, dry,
warm, and windy conditions are expected to persist across portions
of NM and adjacent portions of southeast AZ and west TX. Minimum RH
values of 8-15% combined with sustained westerly winds of 20-30 MPH
will result in critical fire weather conditions across primarily
southern New Mexico into West Texas. Surrounding the critical area,
a broad area of elevated conditions is expected, with the
progression of the cold front defining the northern extent of
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
CLICK FOR DAY 2 FIREWX AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT (KWNSPFWFD2)