Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 770
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1010 PM CDT MON JUL 28 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN MINNESOTA
NORTHEASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA
EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING FROM 1010 PM
UNTIL 400 AM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
ABERDEEN SOUTH DAKOTA TO 40 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF WATERTOWN
SOUTH DAKOTA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 767...WW 768...WW 769...
DISCUSSION...STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DEVELOPING WITHIN ZONE
OF LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION AND WITHIN AREA OF STRONG INSTABILITY
OVER NERN SD NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. STRONG INSTABILITY WITH MLCAPE TO
4000 J/KG AND BULK SHEAR AROUND 45 KT WILL SUPPORT ORGANIZED STORMS
INCLUDING SUPERCELLS WITH VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND
POSSIBLE. THE 0-1 KM HODOGRAPHS SIZE WILL INCREASE AS THE LOW LEVEL
JET STRENGTHENS WITH A WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES
BEFORE THE BOUNDARY LAYER DECOUPLES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 32025.
...DIAL/HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW0
WW 770 TORNADO MN SD 290310Z - 290900Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
60WSW ABR/ABERDEEN SD/ - 40ENE ATY/WATERTOWN SD/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /50NNE PIR - 67NW RWF/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 32025.
LAT...LON 45909955 45939638 44349638 44319955
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU0.
Watch 770 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 770
VALID 290735Z - 290840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 W HON TO
20 S ABR TO 60 NW VVV.
..EVANS..07/29/08
ATTN...WFO...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 770
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC011-155-290840-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BIG STONE TRAVERSE
$$
SDC025-029-037-039-051-057-109-115-290840-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK CODINGTON DAY
DEUEL GRANT HAMLIN
ROBERTS SPINK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 770
VALID 290655Z - 290740Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GUYER..07/29/08
ATTN...WFO...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 770
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC011-155-290740-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BIG STONE TRAVERSE
$$
SDC013-025-029-037-039-045-049-051-057-059-089-091-109-115-
290740-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CLARK CODINGTON
DAY DEUEL EDMUNDS
FAULK GRANT HAMLIN
HAND MCPHERSON MARSHALL
ROBERTS SPINK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (40%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (40%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.