Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 18
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
915 PM CDT THU APR 2 2015
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL INTO SOUTHEAST KANSAS
* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 915 PM
UNTIL 500 AM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2
INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 75 MPH POSSIBLE
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES SOUTH
SOUTHWEST OF HILL CITY KANSAS TO 45 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF
EMPORIA KANSAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 17...
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTHWEST KANSAS ARE EXPECTED TO
INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY AS THEY PROGRESS SOUTHEAST ACROSS
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL INTO EASTERN KANSAS TONIGHT. LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY HAZARDS WITH THESE STORMS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 65
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 28040.
...MEAD
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 18 SEVERE TSTM KS 030215Z - 031000Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
50SSW HLC/HILL CITY KS/ - 45SSE EMP/EMPORIA KS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /33S HLC - 47NW OSW/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28040.
LAT...LON 39580018 38599586 36869586 37840018
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.
Watch 18 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 18
VALID 030705Z - 030840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 NNE BVO TO
30 NNE BVO TO 20 W CNU.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 196.
..PETERS..04/03/15
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...DDC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 18
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-003-031-099-125-133-205-207-030840-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN ANDERSON COFFEY
LABETTE MONTGOMERY NEOSHO
WILSON WOODSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 18
VALID 030550Z - 030640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 S ICT TO
20 SE ICT TO 35 ENE HUT TO 15 NNE SLN.
..PETERS..04/03/15
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...DDC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 18
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-003-015-017-019-031-035-041-049-073-099-111-115-125-127-
133-169-191-205-207-030640-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN ANDERSON BUTLER
CHASE CHAUTAUQUA COFFEY
COWLEY DICKINSON ELK
GREENWOOD LABETTE LYON
MARION MONTGOMERY MORRIS
NEOSHO SALINE SUMNER
WILSON WOODSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 18
VALID 030435Z - 030540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 NE P28 TO
25 SE RSL TO 30 W MHK.
..GLEASON..04/03/15
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...DDC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 18
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-003-015-017-019-031-035-041-049-053-073-079-095-099-111-
113-115-125-127-133-155-159-169-173-191-205-207-030540-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN ANDERSON BUTLER
CHASE CHAUTAUQUA COFFEY
COWLEY DICKINSON ELK
ELLSWORTH GREENWOOD HARVEY
KINGMAN LABETTE LYON
MCPHERSON MARION MONTGOMERY
MORRIS NEOSHO RENO
RICE SALINE SEDGWICK
SUMNER WILSON WOODSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 18
VALID 030340Z - 030440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ESE DDC
TO 45 SSE HLC TO 35 E HLC.
..GLEASON..04/03/15
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...DDC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 18
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-003-009-015-017-019-031-035-041-047-049-051-053-073-079-
095-099-105-111-113-115-125-127-133-143-145-151-155-159-165-167-
169-173-185-191-205-207-030440-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN ANDERSON BARTON
BUTLER CHASE CHAUTAUQUA
COFFEY COWLEY DICKINSON
EDWARDS ELK ELLIS
ELLSWORTH GREENWOOD HARVEY
KINGMAN LABETTE LINCOLN
LYON MCPHERSON MARION
MONTGOMERY MORRIS NEOSHO
OTTAWA PAWNEE PRATT
RENO RICE RUSH
RUSSELL SALINE SEDGWICK
STAFFORD SUMNER WILSON
WOODSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.