Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 53
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
415 PM EDT MON MAR 18 2013
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EAST CENTRAL ALABAMA
WESTERN GEORGIA
EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 415 PM UNTIL
1000 PM EDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTHWEST OF ATLANTA
GEORGIA TO 45 MILES EAST OF TROY ALABAMA. FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 52...
DISCUSSION...ISOLATED AND DISCRETE THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORMING OVER
EASTERN AL...IN REGION OF 300-400 M2/S2 EFFECTIVE SRH VALUES AND
FAVORABLE DEEP-LAYER SHEAR. POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR A FEW OF THESE
STORMS TO BECOME SUPERCELLULAR WITH THE RISK OF HAIL AND AN ISOLATED
TORNADO OR TWO. OTHERWISE...FAST-MOVING BAND OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER
WESTERN AL WILL AFFECT THE WATCH AREA LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING WITH A RISK OF DAMAGING WINDS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27035.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 53 TORNADO AL GA 182015Z - 190200Z
AXIS..85 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
40NW ATL/ATLANTA GA/ - 45E TOI/TROY AL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 75NM E/W /34NW ATL - 51WNW PZD/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27035.
LAT...LON 34028344 31868380 31868669 34028641
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 53 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 53
VALID 190130Z - 190200Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNW ABY
TO 35 S MCN.
WW 53 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 190200Z.
..MOSIER..03/19/13
ATTN...WFO...BMX...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 53
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
GAC081-091-093-315-190200-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CRISP DODGE DOOLY
WILCOX
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 53
VALID 182330Z - 190040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NW MGM TO
30 WSW AUO TO 20 NNE CSG TO 25 SSW AHN.
..MOSIER..03/18/13
ATTN...WFO...BMX...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 53
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC005-011-081-085-087-101-109-113-190040-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBOUR BULLOCK LEE
LOWNDES MACON MONTGOMERY
PIKE RUSSELL
$$
GAC009-021-023-053-079-081-091-093-125-133-141-153-159-163-169-
193-197-207-211-215-225-235-237-249-259-261-263-269-289-293-301-
303-307-315-319-190040-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BIBB BLECKLEY
CHATTAHOOCHEE CRAWFORD CRISP
DODGE DOOLY GLASCOCK
GREENE HANCOCK HOUSTON
JASPER JEFFERSON JONES
MACON MARION MONROE
MORGAN MUSCOGEE PEACH
PULASKI PUTNAM SCHLEY
STEWART SUMTER TALBOT
TAYLOR TWIGGS UPSON
WARREN WASHINGTON WEBSTER
WILCOX WILKINSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 53
VALID 182220Z - 182340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSE BHM
TO 30 SSE ANB TO 25 SSE RMG.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 280
..MOSIER..03/18/13
ATTN...WFO...BMX...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 53
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC001-005-011-017-021-037-051-081-085-087-101-109-111-113-123-
182340-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUTAUGA BARBOUR BULLOCK
CHAMBERS CHILTON COOSA
ELMORE LEE LOWNDES
MACON MONTGOMERY PIKE
RANDOLPH RUSSELL TALLAPOOSA
$$
GAC021-035-045-053-063-067-077-079-081-089-093-097-113-121-145-
149-151-153-159-169-171-193-197-199-207-215-217-223-225-231-247-
249-255-259-261-263-269-285-293-307-182340-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BIBB BUTTS CARROLL
CHATTAHOOCHEE CLAYTON COBB
COWETA CRAWFORD CRISP
DEKALB DOOLY DOUGLAS
FAYETTE FULTON HARRIS
HEARD HENRY HOUSTON
JASPER JONES LAMAR
MACON MARION MERIWETHER
MONROE MUSCOGEE NEWTON
PAULDING PEACH PIKE
ROCKDALE SCHLEY SPALDING
STEWART SUMTER TALBOT
TAYLOR TROUP UPSON
WEBSTER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (40%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (40%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.