SEL9
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 199
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1200 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   
   * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
     WESTERN ARKANSAS
     SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
   
   * EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY MORNING FROM MIDNIGHT UNTIL 700 AM CDT.
   
   * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
     SEVERAL LARGE HAIL EVENTS LIKELY WITH A FEW VERY LARGE HAIL
       EVENTS TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
     SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 110
   STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES NORTHWEST OF
   MCALESTER OKLAHOMA TO 20 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF ARDMORE
   OKLAHOMA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
   ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
   
   PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   &&
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 193...WW 195...WW
   196...WW 197...WW 198...
   
   DISCUSSION...TSTMS EXPECTED TO PERSIST IN WAA ZONE ATOP COOL POOL
   LEFT IN WAKE OF AR SQLN. 40-50 KT SWLY FLOW ATOP OUTFLOW DOME...AND
   CONTINUING PRESENCE OF DEEP EML...SUGGEST A RISK FOR LARGE HAIL AND
   POSSIBLY LOCALLY DMGG WIND.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 25025.
   
   
   ...CORFIDI

   SEL9
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 199
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1200 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   
   * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
     WESTERN ARKANSAS
     SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
   
   * EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY MORNING FROM MIDNIGHT UNTIL 700 AM CDT.
   
   * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
     SEVERAL LARGE HAIL EVENTS LIKELY WITH A FEW VERY LARGE HAIL
       EVENTS TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
     SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 110
   STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES NORTHWEST OF
   MCALESTER OKLAHOMA TO 20 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF ARDMORE
   OKLAHOMA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
   ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
   
   PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   &&
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 193...WW 195...WW
   196...WW 197...WW 198...
   
   DISCUSSION...TSTMS EXPECTED TO PERSIST IN WAA ZONE ATOP COOL POOL
   LEFT IN WAKE OF AR SQLN. 40-50 KT SWLY FLOW ATOP OUTFLOW DOME...AND
   CONTINUING PRESENCE OF DEEP EML...SUGGEST A RISK FOR LARGE HAIL AND
   POSSIBLY LOCALLY DMGG WIND.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 25025.
   
   
   ...CORFIDI

   WOUS64 KWNS 210453
   WOU9
   
   BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 199
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1200 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013
   
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 199 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 AM CDT
   FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
   
   ARC033-047-131-211200-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0199.130521T0500Z-130521T1200Z/
   
   AR 
   .    ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   CRAWFORD             FRANKLIN            SEBASTIAN           
   
   
   OKC005-015-019-027-029-031-033-049-051-061-063-069-077-079-087-
   091-099-101-121-123-125-127-133-135-137-211200-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0199.130521T0500Z-130521T1200Z/
   
   OK 
   .    OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   ATOKA                CADDO               CARTER              
   CLEVELAND            COAL                COMANCHE            
   COTTON               GARVIN              GRADY               
   HASKELL              HUGHES              JOHNSTON            
   LATIMER              LE FLORE            MCCLAIN             
   MCINTOSH             MURRAY              MUSKOGEE            
   PITTSBURG            PONTOTOC            POTTAWATOMIE        
   PUSHMATAHA           SEMINOLE            SEQUOYAH            
   STEPHENS             
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...
   
   
   

   SAW9 
   WW 199 SEVERE TSTM AR OK 210500Z - 211200Z
   AXIS..110 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
   45NW MLC/MCALESTER OK/ - 20ESE ADM/ARDMORE OK/
   ..AVIATION COORDS.. 95NM E/W /40NW MLC - 24E ADM/
   HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
   MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25025.
   
   LAT...LON 35319438 34159476 34159862 35319830
   
   THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
   FOR WOU9.
   

Watch 199 Status Report Messages:

STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 199

VALID 211150Z - 211200Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 S RKR TO
45 WNW DEQ TO 15 NNW DUA.

WW 199 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 211200Z.  A MESOSCALE
DISCUSSION WILL BE SENT SOON FOR SRN OK AND NRN TX INDICATING A
FORECAST INCREASE IN STORM ORGANIZATION BY LATER THIS MORNING AND
THE POTENTIAL NEED FOR A NEW WW. 

..PETERS..05/21/13

ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 199 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

ARC033-047-131-211200-

AR 
.    ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CRAWFORD	     FRANKLIN		 SEBASTIAN	     
$$


OKC005-015-019-027-029-031-033-049-051-061-063-069-077-079-087-
091-099-101-121-123-125-127-133-135-137-211200-

OK 
.    OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ATOKA		     CADDO		 CARTER 	     
CLEVELAND	     COAL		 COMANCHE	     
COTTON		     GARVIN		 GRADY		     
HASKELL 	     HUGHES		 JOHNSTON	     
LATIMER 	     LE FLORE		 MCCLAIN	     
MCINTOSH	     MURRAY		 MUSKOGEE	     
PITTSBURG	     PONTOTOC		 POTTAWATOMIE	     
PUSHMATAHA	     SEMINOLE		 SEQUOYAH	     
STEPHENS	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 199

VALID 210930Z - 211040Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSE RKR
TO 45 WNW DEQ TO 15 NNW DUA.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 745.

..PETERS..05/21/13

ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 199 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

ARC033-047-131-211040-

AR 
.    ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CRAWFORD	     FRANKLIN		 SEBASTIAN	     
$$


OKC005-015-019-027-029-031-033-049-051-061-063-069-077-079-087-
091-099-101-121-123-125-127-133-135-137-211040-

OK 
.    OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ATOKA		     CADDO		 CARTER 	     
CLEVELAND	     COAL		 COMANCHE	     
COTTON		     GARVIN		 GRADY		     
HASKELL 	     HUGHES		 JOHNSTON	     
LATIMER 	     LE FLORE		 MCCLAIN	     
MCINTOSH	     MURRAY		 MUSKOGEE	     
PITTSBURG	     PONTOTOC		 POTTAWATOMIE	     
PUSHMATAHA	     SEMINOLE		 SEQUOYAH	     
STEPHENS	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 199

VALID 210855Z - 210940Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WSW ADM
TO 25 E OKC.

..PETERS..05/21/13

ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 199 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

ARC033-047-131-210940-

AR 
.    ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CRAWFORD	     FRANKLIN		 SEBASTIAN	     
$$


OKC005-019-029-049-061-063-069-077-079-091-099-101-121-123-125-
127-133-135-210940-

OK 
.    OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ATOKA		     CARTER		 COAL		     
GARVIN		     HASKELL		 HUGHES 	     
JOHNSTON	     LATIMER		 LE FLORE	     
MCINTOSH	     MURRAY		 MUSKOGEE	     
PITTSBURG	     PONTOTOC		 POTTAWATOMIE	     
PUSHMATAHA	     SEMINOLE		 SEQUOYAH	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 199

VALID 210750Z - 210840Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WSW ADM
TO 25 E OKC.

..HART..05/21/13

ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 199 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

ARC033-047-131-210840-

AR 
.    ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CRAWFORD	     FRANKLIN		 SEBASTIAN	     
$$


OKC005-019-029-049-061-063-069-077-079-091-099-101-121-123-125-
127-133-135-210840-

OK 
.    OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ATOKA		     CARTER		 COAL		     
GARVIN		     HASKELL		 HUGHES 	     
JOHNSTON	     LATIMER		 LE FLORE	     
MCINTOSH	     MURRAY		 MUSKOGEE	     
PITTSBURG	     PONTOTOC		 POTTAWATOMIE	     
PUSHMATAHA	     SEMINOLE		 SEQUOYAH	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 199

VALID 210650Z - 210740Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

..PETERS..05/21/13

ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 199 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

ARC033-047-131-210740-

AR 
.    ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CRAWFORD	     FRANKLIN		 SEBASTIAN	     
$$


OKC005-015-019-027-029-031-033-049-051-061-063-069-077-079-087-
091-099-101-121-123-125-127-133-135-137-210740-

OK 
.    OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ATOKA		     CADDO		 CARTER 	     
CLEVELAND	     COAL		 COMANCHE	     
COTTON		     GARVIN		 GRADY		     
HASKELL 	     HUGHES		 JOHNSTON	     
LATIMER 	     LE FLORE		 MCCLAIN	     
MCINTOSH	     MURRAY		 MUSKOGEE	     
PITTSBURG	     PONTOTOC		 POTTAWATOMIE	     
PUSHMATAHA	     SEMINOLE		 SEQUOYAH	     
STEPHENS	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

Please visit the National Weather Service Interactive Weather Information Network (IWIN) for more information on the warnings.

For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), "Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.