Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 292
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
315 PM CDT WED MAY 23 2007
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL IOWA
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 315 PM UNTIL
900 PM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 40
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTHWEST OF
MASON CITY IOWA TO 25 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF LAMONI IOWA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 290...WW 291...
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE
ACROSS CENTRAL IA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...ALONG AND AHEAD OF
SURFACE BOUNDARY. MODERATE INSTABILITY AND RATHER STRONG WINDS
ALOFT WILL HELP ORGANIZE STORMS WITH A RISK OF LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 25035.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 292 SEVERE TSTM IA 232015Z - 240200Z
AXIS..40 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
30NW MCW/MASON CITY IA/ - 25WSW LWD/LAMONI IA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 35NM E/W /29NW MCW - 67SSW DSM/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.
LAT...LON 43459295 40479361 40479512 43459455
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 292 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 292
VALID 240135Z - 240200Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSE DNS
TO 20 NW DSM TO 45 NE DSM.
WW 292 IS SCHEDULED TO EXPIRE AT 240200Z.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 874.
..GRAMS..05/24/07
ATTN...WFO...DMX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 292
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC001-003-007-013-017-029-039-049-051-053-099-117-121-123-125-
127-135-153-157-159-171-173-175-179-181-185-240200-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ADAMS APPANOOSE
BLACK HAWK BREMER CASS
CLARKE DALLAS DAVIS
DECATUR JASPER LUCAS
MADISON MAHASKA MARION
MARSHALL MONROE POLK
POWESHIEK RINGGOLD TAMA
TAYLOR UNION WAPELLO
WARREN WAYNE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 292
VALID 240045Z - 240140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SE DNS TO
35 NNW DSM TO 40 E FOD TO 25 NNE MCW.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 874.
..CROSBIE..05/24/07
ATTN...WFO...DMX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 292
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC001-003-007-009-013-017-023-029-033-039-049-051-053-069-075-
077-083-099-117-121-123-125-127-135-153-157-159-169-171-173-175-
179-181-185-195-240140-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ADAMS APPANOOSE
AUDUBON BLACK HAWK BREMER
BUTLER CASS CERRO GORDO
CLARKE DALLAS DAVIS
DECATUR FRANKLIN GRUNDY
GUTHRIE HARDIN JASPER
LUCAS MADISON MAHASKA
MARION MARSHALL MONROE
POLK POWESHIEK RINGGOLD
STORY TAMA TAYLOR
UNION WAPELLO WARREN
WAYNE WORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 292
VALID 232245Z - 232340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 871.
..CROSBIE..05/23/07
ATTN...WFO...DMX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 292
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC001-003-009-015-023-025-027-029-033-039-049-069-073-077-079-
081-083-091-109-121-147-151-153-159-169-173-175-181-187-189-195-
197-232340-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ADAMS AUDUBON
BOONE BUTLER CALHOUN
CARROLL CASS CERRO GORDO
CLARKE DALLAS FRANKLIN
GREENE GUTHRIE HAMILTON
HANCOCK HARDIN HUMBOLDT
KOSSUTH MADISON PALO ALTO
POCAHONTAS POLK RINGGOLD
STORY TAYLOR UNION
WARREN WEBSTER WINNEBAGO
WORTH WRIGHT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 292
VALID 232140Z - 232240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..CROSBIE..05/23/07
ATTN...WFO...DMX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 292
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC001-003-009-015-023-025-027-029-033-039-049-069-073-077-079-
081-083-091-109-121-153-159-169-173-175-181-187-189-195-197-
232240-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ADAMS AUDUBON
BOONE BUTLER CALHOUN
CARROLL CASS CERRO GORDO
CLARKE DALLAS FRANKLIN
GREENE GUTHRIE HAMILTON
HANCOCK HARDIN HUMBOLDT
KOSSUTH MADISON POLK
RINGGOLD STORY TAYLOR
UNION WARREN WEBSTER
WINNEBAGO WORTH WRIGHT
$$
WIC121-232240-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
TREMPEALEAU
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.