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The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 293
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
330 PM CDT WED MAY 23 2007
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWEST KANSAS
NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA
TEXAS PANHANDLE
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 330 PM UNTIL
1100 PM CDT.
...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...
DESTRUCTIVE TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL TO 4 INCHES IN DIAMETER...
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
DODGE CITY KANSAS TO 50 MILES SOUTHEAST OF AMARILLO TEXAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 290...WW 291...WW 292...
DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHWEST KS AND THE TX
PANHANDLE... SPREADING EASTWARD INTO NORTHWEST OK. AIR MASS OVER
THIS REGION IS BECOMING VERY UNSTABLE AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE SPREADS
NORTHWESTWARD BENEATH EXTREMELY STEEP LOW/MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES.
INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES THROUGH THE EVENING WILL PROMOTE
SUPERCELL STORMS CAPABLE OF VERY LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND
STRONG TORNADOES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 4 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 293 TORNADO KS OK TX 232030Z - 240400Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
35NNE DDC/DODGE CITY KS/ - 50SE AMA/AMARILLO TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM E/W /51ENE GCK - 44SE AMA/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..4 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 38229843 34709987 34700233 38220101
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 293 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 293
VALID 240235Z - 240340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..PETERS..05/24/07
ATTN...WFO...DDC...AMA...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 293
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-025-033-047-055-057-067-069-075-081-083-093-097-101-119-
129-135-145-151-165-171-175-185-187-189-240340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER CLARK COMANCHE
EDWARDS FINNEY FORD
GRANT GRAY HAMILTON
HASKELL HODGEMAN KEARNY
KIOWA LANE MEADE
MORTON NESS PAWNEE
PRATT RUSH SCOTT
SEWARD STAFFORD STANTON
STEVENS
$$
OKC007-025-045-059-129-139-151-153-240340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVER CIMARRON ELLIS
HARPER ROGER MILLS TEXAS
WOODS WOODWARD
$$
TXC011-065-087-111-117-129-179-195-205-211-233-295-341-357-359-
375-381-393-421-483-240340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG CARSON COLLINGSWORTH
DALLAM DEAF SMITH DONLEY
GRAY HANSFORD HARTLEY
HEMPHILL HUTCHINSON LIPSCOMB
MOORE OCHILTREE OLDHAM
POTTER RANDALL ROBERTS
SHERMAN WHEELER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 293
VALID 240135Z - 240240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..PETERS..05/24/07
ATTN...WFO...DDC...AMA...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 293
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-025-033-047-055-057-067-069-075-081-083-093-097-101-119-
129-135-145-151-165-171-175-185-187-189-240240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER CLARK COMANCHE
EDWARDS FINNEY FORD
GRANT GRAY HAMILTON
HASKELL HODGEMAN KEARNY
KIOWA LANE MEADE
MORTON NESS PAWNEE
PRATT RUSH SCOTT
SEWARD STAFFORD STANTON
STEVENS
$$
OKC007-025-045-059-129-139-151-153-240240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVER CIMARRON ELLIS
HARPER ROGER MILLS TEXAS
WOODS WOODWARD
$$
TXC011-065-087-111-117-129-179-195-205-211-233-295-341-357-359-
375-381-393-421-483-240240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG CARSON COLLINGSWORTH
DALLAM DEAF SMITH DONLEY
GRAY HANSFORD HARTLEY
HEMPHILL HUTCHINSON LIPSCOMB
MOORE OCHILTREE OLDHAM
POTTER RANDALL ROBERTS
SHERMAN WHEELER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 293
VALID 240040Z - 240140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..PETERS..05/24/07
ATTN...WFO...DDC...AMA...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 293
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-025-033-047-055-057-067-069-081-083-097-119-145-151-175-
185-189-240140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER CLARK COMANCHE
EDWARDS FINNEY FORD
GRANT GRAY HASKELL
HODGEMAN KIOWA MEADE
PAWNEE PRATT SEWARD
STAFFORD STEVENS
$$
OKC007-025-045-059-129-139-151-153-240140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVER CIMARRON ELLIS
HARPER ROGER MILLS TEXAS
WOODS WOODWARD
$$
TXC011-065-087-111-117-129-179-195-205-211-233-295-341-357-359-
375-381-393-421-483-240140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG CARSON COLLINGSWORTH
DALLAM DEAF SMITH DONLEY
GRAY HANSFORD HARTLEY
HEMPHILL HUTCHINSON LIPSCOMB
MOORE OCHILTREE OLDHAM
POTTER RANDALL ROBERTS
SHERMAN WHEELER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 293
VALID 232340Z - 240040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 872.
..PETERS..05/23/07
ATTN...WFO...DDC...AMA...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 293
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-025-033-047-055-057-067-069-081-083-097-119-145-151-175-
185-189-240040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER CLARK COMANCHE
EDWARDS FINNEY FORD
GRANT GRAY HASKELL
HODGEMAN KIOWA MEADE
PAWNEE PRATT SEWARD
STAFFORD STEVENS
$$
OKC007-025-045-059-129-139-151-153-240040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVER CIMARRON ELLIS
HARPER ROGER MILLS TEXAS
WOODS WOODWARD
$$
TXC011-065-087-111-117-129-179-195-205-211-233-295-341-357-359-
375-381-393-421-483-240040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG CARSON COLLINGSWORTH
DALLAM DEAF SMITH DONLEY
GRAY HANSFORD HARTLEY
HEMPHILL HUTCHINSON LIPSCOMB
MOORE OCHILTREE OLDHAM
POTTER RANDALL ROBERTS
SHERMAN WHEELER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 293
VALID 232235Z - 232340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..PETERS..05/23/07
ATTN...WFO...DDC...AMA...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 293
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-025-033-047-055-057-067-069-081-083-097-119-145-151-175-
185-189-232340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER CLARK COMANCHE
EDWARDS FINNEY FORD
GRANT GRAY HASKELL
HODGEMAN KIOWA MEADE
PAWNEE PRATT SEWARD
STAFFORD STEVENS
$$
OKC007-025-045-059-129-139-151-153-232340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVER CIMARRON ELLIS
HARPER ROGER MILLS TEXAS
WOODS WOODWARD
$$
TXC011-065-087-111-117-129-179-195-205-211-233-295-341-357-359-
375-381-393-421-483-232340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG CARSON COLLINGSWORTH
DALLAM DEAF SMITH DONLEY
GRAY HANSFORD HARTLEY
HEMPHILL HUTCHINSON LIPSCOMB
MOORE OCHILTREE OLDHAM
POTTER RANDALL ROBERTS
SHERMAN WHEELER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 293
VALID 232140Z - 232240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..PETERS..05/23/07
ATTN...WFO...DDC...AMA...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 293
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-025-033-047-055-057-067-069-081-083-097-119-145-151-175-
185-189-232240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER CLARK COMANCHE
EDWARDS FINNEY FORD
GRANT GRAY HASKELL
HODGEMAN KIOWA MEADE
PAWNEE PRATT SEWARD
STAFFORD STEVENS
$$
OKC007-045-059-129-139-151-153-232240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVER ELLIS HARPER
ROGER MILLS TEXAS WOODS
WOODWARD
$$
TXC011-065-087-129-179-195-211-233-295-341-357-375-381-393-421-
483-232240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG CARSON COLLINGSWORTH
DONLEY GRAY HANSFORD
HEMPHILL HUTCHINSON LIPSCOMB
MOORE OCHILTREE POTTER
RANDALL ROBERTS SHERMAN
WHEELER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
High (90%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
High (70%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
High (70%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (>95%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
High (>95%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.