Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 421
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
655 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2019
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
northeastern Kansas
northern Missouri
southeastern Nebraska
* Effective this Friday night and Saturday morning from 655 PM
until 200 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Strong to severe thunderstorm development is underway
across parts of northeast Kansas, with additional storms likely to
develop east-northeastward along a frontal zone into north central
Missouri through mid to late evening. Gradually, activity may
consolidate and evolve into an organizing storm cluster which may
pose increasing risk for potentially damaging wind gusts, while
developing eastward and south-southeastward.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
statute miles north and south of a line from 15 miles north
northwest of Manhattan KS to 20 miles south of Kirksville MO. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 417...WW 418...WW
419...WW 420...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
27030.
...Kerr
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 421
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
655 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2019
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
northeastern Kansas
northern Missouri
southeastern Nebraska
* Effective this Friday night and Saturday morning from 655 PM
until 200 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Strong to severe thunderstorm development is underway
across parts of northeast Kansas, with additional storms likely to
develop east-northeastward along a frontal zone into north central
Missouri through mid to late evening. Gradually, activity may
consolidate and evolve into an organizing storm cluster which may
pose increasing risk for potentially damaging wind gusts, while
developing eastward and south-southeastward.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
statute miles north and south of a line from 15 miles north
northwest of Manhattan KS to 20 miles south of Kirksville MO. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 417...WW 418...WW
419...WW 420...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
27030.
...Kerr
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 421 SEVERE TSTM KS MO NE 212355Z - 220700Z
AXIS..50 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
15NNW MHK/MANHATTAN KS/ - 20S IRK/KIRKSVILLE MO/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 45NM N/S /46ENE SLN - 20S IRK/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27030.
LAT...LON 40049677 40529255 39099255 38619677
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 421 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 421
VALID 220650Z - 220700Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 N SZL TO
30 S IRK.
WW 421 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 220700Z.
..MOSIER..06/22/19
ATTN...WFO...EAX...TOP...OAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 421
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MOC089-175-195-220700-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HOWARD RANDOLPH SALINE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 421
VALID 220450Z - 220540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WSW OJC
TO 10 NNE MKC TO 25 WNW CDJ TO 15 ESE LWD TO 20 E LWD.
..LEITMAN..06/22/19
ATTN...WFO...EAX...TOP...OAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 421
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC091-209-220540-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JOHNSON WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC001-025-033-041-047-061-079-089-095-107-115-117-121-129-171-
175-177-195-197-211-220540-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR CALDWELL CARROLL
CHARITON CLAY DAVIESS
GRUNDY HOWARD JACKSON
LAFAYETTE LINN LIVINGSTON
MACON MERCER PUTNAM
RANDOLPH RAY SALINE
SCHUYLER SULLIVAN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 421
VALID 220340Z - 220440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NW MHK TO
25 SW FNB TO 25 NNE STJ TO 20 WNW LWD.
..LEITMAN..06/22/19
ATTN...WFO...EAX...TOP...OAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 421
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC005-013-043-045-061-085-087-091-103-131-149-161-177-197-209-
220440-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATCHISON BROWN DONIPHAN
DOUGLAS GEARY JACKSON
JEFFERSON JOHNSON LEAVENWORTH
NEMAHA POTTAWATOMIE RILEY
SHAWNEE WABAUNSEE WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC001-003-021-025-033-041-047-049-061-063-075-079-081-089-095-
107-115-117-121-129-165-171-175-177-195-197-211-227-220440-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ANDREW BUCHANAN
CALDWELL CARROLL CHARITON
CLAY CLINTON DAVIESS
DEKALB GENTRY GRUNDY
HARRISON HOWARD JACKSON
LAFAYETTE LINN LIVINGSTON
MACON MERCER PLATTE
PUTNAM RANDOLPH RAY
SALINE SCHUYLER SULLIVAN
WORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 421
VALID 220220Z - 220340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..LEITMAN..06/22/19
ATTN...WFO...EAX...TOP...OAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 421
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC005-013-043-045-061-085-087-091-103-117-131-149-161-177-197-
209-220340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATCHISON BROWN DONIPHAN
DOUGLAS GEARY JACKSON
JEFFERSON JOHNSON LEAVENWORTH
MARSHALL NEMAHA POTTAWATOMIE
RILEY SHAWNEE WABAUNSEE
WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC001-003-021-025-033-041-047-049-061-063-075-079-081-087-089-
095-107-115-117-121-129-147-165-171-175-177-195-197-211-227-
220340-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ANDREW BUCHANAN
CALDWELL CARROLL CHARITON
CLAY CLINTON DAVIESS
DEKALB GENTRY GRUNDY
HARRISON HOLT HOWARD
JACKSON LAFAYETTE LINN
LIVINGSTON MACON MERCER
NODAWAY PLATTE PUTNAM
RANDOLPH RAY SALINE
SCHUYLER SULLIVAN WORTH
$$
NEC133-147-220340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
PAWNEE RICHARDSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.