Skip Navigation Links weather.gov 
NOAA logo-Select to go to the NOAA homepage NOAA's National Weather Service   Select to go to the NWS homepage
Storm Prediction Center
navigation bar left  
  navigation bar end cap


 
USA.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.

    Day 2 Outlook >
Aug 31, 2015 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Mon Aug 31 05:29:57 UTC 2015 (Print Version | 20150831 1200Z Day 1 shapefile | 20150831 1200Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Tornado Wind Hail
 Population  Cities/Towns  CWAs  Interstates  Counties  ARTCC  FEMA Regions

 Forecast Discussion
   SPC AC 310529

   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1229 AM CDT MON AUG 31 2015

   VALID 311200Z - 011200Z

   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED OVER THE CONTIGUOUS UNITED
   STATES THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY.

   ...DISCUSSION...
   A QUIESCENT PATTERN FOR ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS IS ANTICIPATED
   DURING THE PERIOD. A SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER WRN MT WILL RAPIDLY
   PROGRESS TOWARDS JAMES BAY. FORCING FOR ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
   FEATURE WILL SHIFT ENTIRELY N OF THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER LATER
   TODAY. WHILE A COLD FRONT WILL MARCH E INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST THIS
   AFTERNOON...MODIFIED MARITIME TROPICAL AIR /CURRENTLY ACROSS THE
   MID-MS VALLEY TO OZARK PLATEAU/ SHOULD REMAIN DIVORCED FROM THE
   FRONT THROUGH PEAK HEATING. POTENTIAL APPEARS NEGLIGIBLE FOR
   SURFACE-BASED TSTMS WHERE THE TRAILING BELT OF AT LEAST MODERATE
   MID-LEVEL SWLYS IS PREVALENT IN THE NWRN MN AREA.

   ELSEWHERE...LOW-LEVEL WINDS WILL DIMINISH LATER THIS MORNING ACROSS
   THE CAROLINA COASTAL PLAIN AS A SHORTWAVE IMPULSE OVER THE SRN
   APPALACHIANS DECAYS ACROSS THE LOWER MID-ATLANTIC REGION. THE RISK
   FOR LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS APPEARS MINIMAL TODAY.

   ..GRAMS/PICCA.. 08/31/2015

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z

        
Top/Latest Day 2 Outlook/Today's Outlooks/Forecast Products/Home
Weather Topics:
Watches, Mesoscale Discussions, Outlooks, Fire Weather, All Products, Contact Us

NOAA / National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
Storm Prediction Center
120 David L. Boren Blvd.
Norman, OK 73072 U.S.A.
spc.feedback@noaa.gov
Page last modified: August 31, 2015
Disclaimer
Information Quality
Help
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities