Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 164
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
255 PM CDT Mon May 4 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northeast Arkansas
Western Kentucky
Southeast Missouri
Northern Mississippi
Western Tennessee
* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 255 PM until
1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms over Missouri and Arkansas will track
southeastward across the watch area this afternoon and evening,
posing a risk of large hail and damaging wind gusts. There is also
a low risk of a tornado or two over west TN along the warm front.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70
statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles west northwest
of Cape Girardeau MO to 60 miles east southeast of Memphis TN. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 161...WW 162...WW 163...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
28035.
...Hart
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 164
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
255 PM CDT Mon May 4 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northeast Arkansas
Western Kentucky
Southeast Missouri
Northern Mississippi
Western Tennessee
* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 255 PM until
1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms over Missouri and Arkansas will track
southeastward across the watch area this afternoon and evening,
posing a risk of large hail and damaging wind gusts. There is also
a low risk of a tornado or two over west TN along the warm front.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70
statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles west northwest
of Cape Girardeau MO to 60 miles east southeast of Memphis TN. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 161...WW 162...WW 163...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
28035.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 164 SEVERE TSTM AR KY MO MS TN 041955Z - 050300Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
40WNW CGI/CAPE GIRARDEAU MO/ - 60ESE MEM/MEMPHIS TN/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM E/W /14S FAM - 53ESE MEM/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28035.
LAT...LON 37438897 34708777 34709024 37439152
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 164 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 164
VALID 050055Z - 050140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NE UOX TO
MKL TO 50 ENE MKL.
..SQUITIERI..05/05/20
ATTN...WFO...MEG...PAH...LSX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 164
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MSC003-141-050140-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCORN TISHOMINGO
$$
TNC023-039-069-071-077-109-113-050140-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHESTER DECATUR HARDEMAN
HARDIN HENDERSON MCNAIRY
MADISON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 164
VALID 050010Z - 050140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SSW JBR
TO 15 E DYR TO 50 WSW HOP.
..SQUITIERI..05/05/20
ATTN...WFO...MEG...PAH...LSX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 164
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC035-093-050140-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CRITTENDEN MISSISSIPPI
$$
MSC003-009-033-093-117-139-141-050140-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCORN BENTON DESOTO
MARSHALL PRENTISS TIPPAH
TISHOMINGO
$$
TNC005-017-023-033-039-047-053-069-071-075-077-079-097-109-113-
157-167-050140-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL CHESTER
CROCKETT DECATUR FAYETTE
GIBSON HARDEMAN HARDIN
HAYWOOD HENDERSON HENRY
LAUDERDALE MCNAIRY MADISON
SHELBY TIPTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 164
VALID 042230Z - 042340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 E UNO TO
30 WSW CGI TO 20 SE PAH.
..SQUITIERI..05/04/20
ATTN...WFO...MEG...PAH...LSX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 164
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC021-031-035-055-093-111-042340-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY CRAIGHEAD CRITTENDEN
GREENE MISSISSIPPI POINSETT
$$
KYC035-039-075-083-105-042340-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALLOWAY CARLISLE FULTON
GRAVES HICKMAN
$$
MSC003-009-033-093-117-139-141-042340-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCORN BENTON DESOTO
MARSHALL PRENTISS TIPPAH
TISHOMINGO
$$
MOC023-069-133-143-155-181-207-042340-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUTLER DUNKLIN MISSISSIPPI
NEW MADRID PEMISCOT RIPLEY
STODDARD
$$
TNC005-017-023-033-039-045-047-053-069-071-075-077-079-095-097-
109-113-131-157-167-183-042340-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL CHESTER
CROCKETT DECATUR DYER
FAYETTE GIBSON HARDEMAN
HARDIN HAYWOOD HENDERSON
HENRY LAKE LAUDERDALE
MCNAIRY MADISON OBION
SHELBY TIPTON WEAKLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 164
VALID 042030Z - 042140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GLEASON..05/04/20
ATTN...WFO...MEG...PAH...LSX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 164
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC021-031-035-055-093-111-042140-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY CRAIGHEAD CRITTENDEN
GREENE MISSISSIPPI POINSETT
$$
KYC035-039-075-083-105-042140-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALLOWAY CARLISLE FULTON
GRAVES HICKMAN
$$
MSC003-009-033-093-117-139-141-042140-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCORN BENTON DESOTO
MARSHALL PRENTISS TIPPAH
TISHOMINGO
$$
MOC017-023-031-035-069-093-123-133-143-155-179-181-201-207-223-
042140-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOLLINGER BUTLER CAPE GIRARDEAU
CARTER DUNKLIN IRON
MADISON MISSISSIPPI NEW MADRID
PEMISCOT REYNOLDS RIPLEY
SCOTT STODDARD WAYNE
$$
TNC005-017-023-033-039-045-047-053-069-071-075-077-079-095-097-
109-113-131-157-167-183-042140-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL CHESTER
CROCKETT DECATUR DYER
FAYETTE GIBSON HARDEMAN
HARDIN HAYWOOD HENDERSON
HENRY LAKE LAUDERDALE
MCNAIRY MADISON OBION
SHELBY TIPTON WEAKLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.