Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 41
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
825 AM EST SAT FEB 28 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL GEORGIA
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 825 AM UNTIL
200 PM EST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 45 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 10 MILES WEST OF AUBURN
ALABAMA TO 75 MILES EAST OF MACON GEORGIA. FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 40...
DISCUSSION...CLUSTER OF STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER EAST
CENTRAL AL WILL TRACK EASTWARD THIS MORNING INTO CENTRAL GA...IN
VICINITY OF RETREATING SURFACE WARM FRONT. LATEST VAD WIND PROFILES
SUGGEST FAVORABLE LOW LEVEL AND DEEP LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR FOR A RISK
OF SUPERCELLS/TORNADOES...ALONG WITH LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND
HAIL. AIRMASS IS EXPECTED TO DESTABILIZE EASTWARD INTO EAST-CENTRAL
GA BY EARLY AFTERNOON WITH A CONTINUED SEVERE THREAT.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26040.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 41 TORNADO GA 281325Z - 281900Z
AXIS..45 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
10W AUO/AUBURN AL/ - 75E MCN/MACON GA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 40NM N/S /33SW LGC - 62S IRQ/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26040.
LAT...LON 33258559 33348236 32048236 31958559
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 41 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 41
VALID 281555Z - 281640Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..02/28/09
ATTN...WFO...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 41
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
GAC009-021-023-035-053-079-081-091-093-107-125-141-145-153-159-
163-167-169-171-175-193-197-199-207-209-215-225-231-235-237-249-
255-259-261-263-265-269-271-279-283-285-289-293-301-303-307-309-
315-319-281640-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BIBB BLECKLEY
BUTTS CHATTAHOOCHEE CRAWFORD
CRISP DODGE DOOLY
EMANUEL GLASCOCK HANCOCK
HARRIS HOUSTON JASPER
JEFFERSON JOHNSON JONES
LAMAR LAURENS MACON
MARION MERIWETHER MONROE
MONTGOMERY MUSCOGEE PEACH
PIKE PULASKI PUTNAM
SCHLEY SPALDING STEWART
SUMTER TALBOT TALIAFERRO
TAYLOR TELFAIR TOOMBS
TREUTLEN TROUP TWIGGS
UPSON WARREN WASHINGTON
WEBSTER WHEELER WILCOX
WILKINSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 41
VALID 281435Z - 281540Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..02/28/09
ATTN...WFO...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 41
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
GAC009-021-023-035-053-079-081-091-093-107-125-141-145-153-159-
163-167-169-171-175-193-197-199-207-209-215-225-231-235-237-249-
255-259-261-263-265-269-271-279-283-285-289-293-301-303-307-309-
315-319-281540-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BIBB BLECKLEY
BUTTS CHATTAHOOCHEE CRAWFORD
CRISP DODGE DOOLY
EMANUEL GLASCOCK HANCOCK
HARRIS HOUSTON JASPER
JEFFERSON JOHNSON JONES
LAMAR LAURENS MACON
MARION MERIWETHER MONROE
MONTGOMERY MUSCOGEE PEACH
PIKE PULASKI PUTNAM
SCHLEY SPALDING STEWART
SUMTER TALBOT TALIAFERRO
TAYLOR TELFAIR TOOMBS
TREUTLEN TROUP TWIGGS
UPSON WARREN WASHINGTON
WEBSTER WHEELER WILCOX
WILKINSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 41
VALID 281350Z - 281440Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..02/28/09
ATTN...WFO...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 41
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
GAC009-021-023-035-053-079-081-091-093-107-125-141-145-153-159-
163-167-169-171-175-193-197-199-207-209-215-225-231-235-237-249-
255-259-261-263-265-269-271-279-283-285-289-293-301-303-307-309-
315-319-281440-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BIBB BLECKLEY
BUTTS CHATTAHOOCHEE CRAWFORD
CRISP DODGE DOOLY
EMANUEL GLASCOCK HANCOCK
HARRIS HOUSTON JASPER
JEFFERSON JOHNSON JONES
LAMAR LAURENS MACON
MARION MERIWETHER MONROE
MONTGOMERY MUSCOGEE PEACH
PIKE PULASKI PUTNAM
SCHLEY SPALDING STEWART
SUMTER TALBOT TALIAFERRO
TAYLOR TELFAIR TOOMBS
TREUTLEN TROUP TWIGGS
UPSON WARREN WASHINGTON
WEBSTER WHEELER WILCOX
WILKINSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.