Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 41
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1000 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ALABAMA
EASTERN LOUISIANA
MUCH OF MISSISSIPPI
SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 1000 PM
UNTIL 500 AM CST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES NORTH OF MUSCLE
SHOALS ALABAMA TO 55 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF NATCHEZ MISSISSIPPI.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 36...WW 37...WW 39...WW
40...
DISCUSSION...LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ALONG THE MS RIVER WILL
TRACK EASTWARD ACROSS PARTS OF MS AND AL THROUGH THE LATE EVENING
AND OVERNIGHT HOURS. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THIS
LINE...WHILE ISOLATED CELLS AHEAD OF THE LINE CONTINUE TO POSE A
RISK OF HAIL AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 41 TORNADO AL LA MS TN 060400Z - 061100Z
AXIS..80 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
20N MSL/MUSCLE SHOALS AL/ - 55ESE HEZ/NATCHEZ MS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 70NM E/W /22NNW MSL - 9W MCB/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.
LAT...LON 35028620 31308908 31309179 35028902
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 41 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 41
VALID 061045Z - 061100Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ESE PIB
TO 20 W TCL TO 30 N HSV.
EXCEPT FOR THOSE COUNTIES LOCALLY EXTENDED IN TIME BY HSV WFO...WW
41 SHOULD BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 061100Z.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 175.
..EDWARDS..02/06/08
ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...JAN...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 41
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC043-049-071-089-095-103-061100-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CULLMAN DEKALB JACKSON
MADISON MARSHALL MORGAN
$$
TNC051-127-061100-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FRANKLIN MOORE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 41
VALID 060835Z - 060940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NNE MCB
TO 30 S JAN TO 45 NW MEI TO 20 WSW CBM TO 30 ESE TUP TO 10 W MSL
TO 20 N MSL.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE UPCOMING MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 175.
..EVANS..02/06/08
ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...JAN...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 41
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC007-009-033-043-049-055-057-059-063-065-071-073-075-077-079-
083-089-091-093-095-103-105-107-115-117-119-125-127-133-
060940-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BIBB BLOUNT COLBERT
CULLMAN DEKALB ETOWAH
FAYETTE FRANKLIN GREENE
HALE JACKSON JEFFERSON
LAMAR LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE
LIMESTONE MADISON MARENGO
MARION MARSHALL MORGAN
PERRY PICKENS ST. CLAIR
SHELBY SUMTER TUSCALOOSA
WALKER WINSTON
$$
MSC023-025-031-035-061-065-067-069-073-075-077-087-091-095-099-
101-103-105-123-127-129-159-060940-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARKE CLAY COVINGTON
FORREST JASPER JEFFERSON DAVIS
JONES KEMPER LAMAR
LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE LOWNDES
MARION MONROE NESHOBA
NEWTON NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA
SCOTT SIMPSON SMITH
WINSTON
$$
TNC051-103-127-060940-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FRANKLIN LINCOLN MOORE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 41
VALID 060745Z - 060840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSE HEZ
TO 30 WSW JAN TO 35 N JAN TO 30 SE GWO TO 30 WNW CBM TO 30 ENE
TUP TO 30 NW MSL.
..EVANS..02/06/08
ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...JAN...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 41
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC007-009-033-043-049-055-057-059-063-065-071-073-075-077-079-
083-089-091-093-095-103-105-107-115-117-119-125-127-133-
060840-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BIBB BLOUNT COLBERT
CULLMAN DEKALB ETOWAH
FAYETTE FRANKLIN GREENE
HALE JACKSON JEFFERSON
LAMAR LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE
LIMESTONE MADISON MARENGO
MARION MARSHALL MORGAN
PERRY PICKENS ST. CLAIR
SHELBY SUMTER TUSCALOOSA
WALKER WINSTON
$$
MSC007-019-023-025-029-031-035-037-049-057-061-065-067-069-073-
075-077-079-085-087-089-091-095-099-101-103-105-121-123-127-129-
159-060840-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATTALA CHOCTAW CLARKE
CLAY COPIAH COVINGTON
FORREST FRANKLIN HINDS
ITAWAMBA JASPER JEFFERSON DAVIS
JONES KEMPER LAMAR
LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE LEAKE
LINCOLN LOWNDES MADISON
MARION MONROE NESHOBA
NEWTON NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA
RANKIN SCOTT SIMPSON
SMITH WINSTON
$$
TNC051-103-127-060840-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FRANKLIN LINCOLN MOORE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 41
VALID 060635Z - 060740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SW GWO TO
35 SSW UOX TO 20 WSW TUP TO 45 SSE MKL.
..EDWARDS..02/06/08
ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...JAN...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 41
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC007-009-033-043-049-055-057-059-063-065-071-073-075-077-079-
083-089-093-095-103-107-115-117-119-125-127-133-060740-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BIBB BLOUNT COLBERT
CULLMAN DEKALB ETOWAH
FAYETTE FRANKLIN GREENE
HALE JACKSON JEFFERSON
LAMAR LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE
LIMESTONE MADISON MARION
MARSHALL MORGAN PICKENS
ST. CLAIR SHELBY SUMTER
TUSCALOOSA WALKER WINSTON
$$
LAC029-065-107-060740-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
CONCORDIA MADISON TENSAS
$$
MSC001-003-007-013-015-017-019-021-023-025-029-031-035-037-043-
049-051-057-061-063-065-067-069-073-075-077-079-081-085-087-089-
091-095-097-099-101-103-105-115-117-121-123-127-129-139-141-145-
149-155-159-161-163-060740-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ALCORN ATTALA
CALHOUN CARROLL CHICKASAW
CHOCTAW CLAIBORNE CLARKE
CLAY COPIAH COVINGTON
FORREST FRANKLIN GRENADA
HINDS HOLMES ITAWAMBA
JASPER JEFFERSON JEFFERSON DAVIS
JONES KEMPER LAMAR
LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE LEAKE
LEE LINCOLN LOWNDES
MADISON MARION MONROE
MONTGOMERY NESHOBA NEWTON
NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA PONTOTOC
PRENTISS RANKIN SCOTT
SIMPSON SMITH TIPPAH
TISHOMINGO UNION WARREN
WEBSTER WINSTON YALOBUSHA
YAZOO
$$
TNC039-051-071-077-103-109-127-060740-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DECATUR FRANKLIN HARDIN
HENDERSON LINCOLN MCNAIRY
MOORE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 41
VALID 060535Z - 060640Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..02/06/08
ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...JAN...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 41
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC007-009-033-043-049-055-057-059-063-065-071-073-075-077-079-
083-089-093-095-103-107-115-117-119-125-127-133-060640-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BIBB BLOUNT COLBERT
CULLMAN DEKALB ETOWAH
FAYETTE FRANKLIN GREENE
HALE JACKSON JEFFERSON
LAMAR LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE
LIMESTONE MADISON MARION
MARSHALL MORGAN PICKENS
ST. CLAIR SHELBY SUMTER
TUSCALOOSA WALKER WINSTON
$$
LAC025-029-041-065-107-060640-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
CATAHOULA CONCORDIA FRANKLIN
MADISON TENSAS
$$
MSC001-003-007-009-013-015-017-019-021-023-025-029-031-035-037-
043-049-051-057-061-063-065-067-069-071-073-075-077-079-081-085-
087-089-091-095-097-099-101-103-105-115-117-121-123-127-129-139-
141-145-149-155-159-161-163-060640-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ALCORN ATTALA
BENTON CALHOUN CARROLL
CHICKASAW CHOCTAW CLAIBORNE
CLARKE CLAY COPIAH
COVINGTON FORREST FRANKLIN
GRENADA HINDS HOLMES
ITAWAMBA JASPER JEFFERSON
JEFFERSON DAVIS JONES KEMPER
LAFAYETTE LAMAR LAUDERDALE
LAWRENCE LEAKE LEE
LINCOLN LOWNDES MADISON
MARION MONROE MONTGOMERY
NESHOBA NEWTON NOXUBEE
OKTIBBEHA PONTOTOC PRENTISS
RANKIN SCOTT SIMPSON
SMITH TIPPAH TISHOMINGO
UNION WARREN WEBSTER
WINSTON YALOBUSHA YAZOO
$$
TNC051-103-127-060640-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FRANKLIN LINCOLN MOORE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 41
VALID 060440Z - 060540Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..LEVIT..02/06/08
ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...JAN...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 41
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC007-009-033-043-049-055-057-059-063-065-071-073-075-077-079-
083-089-093-095-103-107-115-117-119-125-127-133-060540-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BIBB BLOUNT COLBERT
CULLMAN DEKALB ETOWAH
FAYETTE FRANKLIN GREENE
HALE JACKSON JEFFERSON
LAMAR LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE
LIMESTONE MADISON MARION
MARSHALL MORGAN PICKENS
ST. CLAIR SHELBY SUMTER
TUSCALOOSA WALKER WINSTON
$$
LAC025-029-041-065-107-060540-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
CATAHOULA CONCORDIA FRANKLIN
MADISON TENSAS
$$
MSC001-003-007-009-013-015-017-019-021-023-025-029-031-035-037-
043-049-051-057-061-063-065-067-069-071-073-075-077-079-081-085-
087-089-091-095-097-099-101-103-105-115-117-121-123-127-129-139-
141-145-149-155-159-161-163-060540-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ALCORN ATTALA
BENTON CALHOUN CARROLL
CHICKASAW CHOCTAW CLAIBORNE
CLARKE CLAY COPIAH
COVINGTON FORREST FRANKLIN
GRENADA HINDS HOLMES
ITAWAMBA JASPER JEFFERSON
JEFFERSON DAVIS JONES KEMPER
LAFAYETTE LAMAR LAUDERDALE
LAWRENCE LEAKE LEE
LINCOLN LOWNDES MADISON
MARION MONROE MONTGOMERY
NESHOBA NEWTON NOXUBEE
OKTIBBEHA PONTOTOC PRENTISS
RANKIN SCOTT SIMPSON
SMITH TIPPAH TISHOMINGO
UNION WARREN WEBSTER
WINSTON YALOBUSHA YAZOO
$$
TNC051-103-127-060540-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FRANKLIN LINCOLN MOORE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.