Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 100
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
625 PM EST TUE MAR 4 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EASTERN GEORGIA
SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 625 PM
UNTIL 200 AM EST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
AUGUSTA GEORGIA TO 5 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF WILMINGTON NORTH
CAROLINA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 96...WW 97...WW 98...WW
99...
DISCUSSION...VERY STRONG LOW LEVEL SHEAR WILL PERSIST ATOP MID 60F
SURFACE DEW POINTS ACROSS SC THIS EVENING AHEAD OF STRONG MID/UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH LIFTING OVER THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS. APPEARS MLCAPE
WILL REMAIN QUITE MARGINAL...HOWEVER IT SHOULD STILL SUFFICE FOR
STRONGER STORMS AND THE THREAT OF TORNADOES/DAMAGING WINDS AHEAD OF
SURFACE COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO MOVE OFF THE SC COAST LATE TONIGHT.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.
...EVANS
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW0
WW 100 TORNADO GA NC SC CW 042325Z - 050700Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
35SSW AGS/AUGUSTA GA/ - 5ESE ILM/WILMINGTON NC/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM N/S /49S IRQ - 7SSE ILM/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.
LAT...LON 33908219 35257781 33227781 31878219
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU0.
Watch 100 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 100
VALID 050635Z - 050700Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SE CRE TO
15 WSW OAJ.
WW 100 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 050700Z.
..GUYER..03/05/08
ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...ILM...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 100
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
AMZ250-050700-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 100
VALID 050440Z - 050540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SE CRE TO
35 ENE CRE TO 10 WSW FAY.
..DARROW..03/05/08
ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...ILM...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 100
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC017-019-047-129-141-050540-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLADEN BRUNSWICK COLUMBUS
NEW HANOVER PENDER
$$
AMZ250-252-050540-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20
NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 100
VALID 050350Z - 050440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ESE CHS
TO 35 NNW FLO.
..DARROW..03/05/08
ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...ILM...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 100
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC017-019-047-129-141-155-050440-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLADEN BRUNSWICK COLUMBUS
NEW HANOVER PENDER ROBESON
$$
SCC031-033-041-043-051-067-069-089-050440-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DARLINGTON DILLON FLORENCE
GEORGETOWN HORRY MARION
MARLBORO WILLIAMSBURG
$$
AMZ250-252-254-256-050440-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET TO MURRELLS INLET SC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM MURRELLS INLET TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SC OUT
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 100
VALID 050135Z - 050240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSW AGS
TO 30 WNW CAE.
..DARROW..03/05/08
ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...ILM...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 100
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
GAC029-031-033-043-051-103-109-165-179-183-191-245-251-267-
050240-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRYAN BULLOCH BURKE
CANDLER CHATHAM EFFINGHAM
EVANS JENKINS LIBERTY
LONG MCINTOSH RICHMOND
SCREVEN TATTNALL
$$
NCC017-019-047-129-141-155-050240-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLADEN BRUNSWICK COLUMBUS
NEW HANOVER PENDER ROBESON
$$
SCC003-005-009-011-013-015-017-019-025-027-029-031-033-035-039-
041-043-049-051-053-055-057-061-063-067-069-071-075-079-081-085-
089-050240-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AIKEN ALLENDALE BAMBERG
BARNWELL BEAUFORT BERKELEY
CALHOUN CHARLESTON CHESTERFIELD
CLARENDON COLLETON DARLINGTON
DILLON DORCHESTER FAIRFIELD
FLORENCE GEORGETOWN HAMPTON
HORRY JASPER KERSHAW
LANCASTER LEE LEXINGTON
MARION MARLBORO NEWBERRY
ORANGEBURG RICHLAND SALUDA
SUMTER WILLIAMSBURG
$$
AMZ250-252-254-256-330-350-352-354-050240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET TO MURRELLS INLET SC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM MURRELLS INLET TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SC OUT
20 NM
CHARLESTON HARBOR
COASTAL WATERS FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO EDISTO BEACH SC OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM EDISTO BEACH SC TO SAVANNAH GA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA OUT 20 NM
...INCLUDING GRAYS REEF NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.