Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 103
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
630 AM CDT THU APR 2 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN ALABAMA
FLORIDA PANHANDLE
SOUTHWEST GEORGIA
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 630 AM UNTIL
200 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 145 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 65 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF
TROY ALABAMA TO 55 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 101...WW 102...
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY ACROSS SOUTHERN AL...FL PANHANDLE...AND SOUTHWEST GA
THROUGH THE MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON. MODERATE INSTABILITY AND
STRONG EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR /45-70 KT/ IS MORE THAN ADEQUATE FOR
ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS. GIVEN THIS ENVIRONMENT COMBINED WITH
SUFFICIENT LOW LEVEL SHEAR...STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
TORNADOES... DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL...WITH ACTIVITY SPREADING ENEWD
ACROSS THE WATCH.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...PETERS/EVANS
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 103 TORNADO AL FL GA CW 021130Z - 021900Z
AXIS..145 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
65ENE TOI/TROY AL/ - 55SSW PFN/PANAMA CITY FL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 125NM E/W /49NW ABY - 88SSE CEW/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 32208251 29458362 29458844 32208747
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 103 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 103
VALID 021735Z - 021840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SW AAF TO
25 E TLH TO 30 W AYS.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 368.
..GRAMS..04/02/09
ATTN...WFO...MOB...BMX...TAE...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 103
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC023-025-129-021840-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHOCTAW CLARKE WASHINGTON
$$
FLC029-037-065-067-079-123-129-021840-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DIXIE FRANKLIN JEFFERSON
LAFAYETTE MADISON TAYLOR
WAKULLA
$$
GAC027-173-185-021840-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROOKS LANIER LOWNDES
$$
MSC039-041-111-131-153-021840-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GEORGE GREENE PERRY
STONE WAYNE
$$
GMZ730-755-765-021840-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 103
VALID 021640Z - 021740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SSW PFN
TO 35 W TLH TO 35 W AYS.
..GRAMS..04/02/09
ATTN...WFO...MOB...BMX...TAE...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 103
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC029-037-045-065-067-073-077-079-123-129-021740-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DIXIE FRANKLIN GULF
JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE LEON
LIBERTY MADISON TAYLOR
WAKULLA
$$
GAC027-173-185-021740-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROOKS LANIER LOWNDES
$$
GMZ730-750-755-765-021740-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 103
VALID 021535Z - 021640Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..04/02/09
ATTN...WFO...MOB...BMX...TAE...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 103
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC003-013-031-035-039-041-045-053-061-067-069-097-099-131-
021640-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BUTLER COFFEE
CONECUH COVINGTON CRENSHAW
DALE ESCAMBIA GENEVA
HENRY HOUSTON MOBILE
MONROE WILCOX
$$
FLC005-013-029-033-037-039-045-059-063-065-067-073-077-079-091-
113-123-129-131-133-021640-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN DIXIE
ESCAMBIA FRANKLIN GADSDEN
GULF HOLMES JACKSON
JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE LEON
LIBERTY MADISON OKALOOSA
SANTA ROSA TAYLOR WAKULLA
WALTON WASHINGTON
$$
GAC007-017-019-027-037-053-061-071-075-081-087-095-099-131-155-
173-177-185-197-201-205-215-239-243-249-253-259-261-273-275-277-
287-307-321-021640-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER BEN HILL BERRIEN
BROOKS CALHOUN CHATTAHOOCHEE
CLAY COLQUITT COOK
CRISP DECATUR DOUGHERTY
EARLY GRADY IRWIN
LANIER LEE LOWNDES
MARION MILLER MITCHELL
MUSCOGEE QUITMAN RANDOLPH
SCHLEY SEMINOLE STEWART
SUMTER TERRELL THOMAS
TIFT TURNER WEBSTER
WORTH
$$
GMZ630-650-655-730-750-755-765-021640-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
MOBILE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 103
VALID 021430Z - 021540Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..04/02/09
ATTN...WFO...MOB...BMX...TAE...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 103
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC003-005-011-013-031-035-039-041-045-053-061-067-069-081-085-
087-097-099-101-109-113-131-021540-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BARBOUR BULLOCK
BUTLER COFFEE CONECUH
COVINGTON CRENSHAW DALE
ESCAMBIA GENEVA HENRY
HOUSTON LEE LOWNDES
MACON MOBILE MONROE
MONTGOMERY PIKE RUSSELL
WILCOX
$$
FLC005-013-029-033-037-039-045-059-063-065-067-073-077-079-091-
113-123-129-131-133-021540-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN DIXIE
ESCAMBIA FRANKLIN GADSDEN
GULF HOLMES JACKSON
JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE LEON
LIBERTY MADISON OKALOOSA
SANTA ROSA TAYLOR WAKULLA
WALTON WASHINGTON
$$
GAC007-017-019-027-037-053-061-071-075-081-087-095-099-131-155-
173-177-185-197-201-205-215-239-243-249-253-259-261-273-275-277-
287-307-321-021540-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER BEN HILL BERRIEN
BROOKS CALHOUN CHATTAHOOCHEE
CLAY COLQUITT COOK
CRISP DECATUR DOUGHERTY
EARLY GRADY IRWIN
LANIER LEE LOWNDES
MARION MILLER MITCHELL
MUSCOGEE QUITMAN RANDOLPH
SCHLEY SEMINOLE STEWART
SUMTER TERRELL THOMAS
TIFT TURNER WEBSTER
WORTH
$$
GMZ630-650-655-730-750-755-765-021540-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
MOBILE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 103
VALID 021330Z - 021440Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..04/02/09
ATTN...WFO...MOB...BMX...TAE...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 103
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC003-005-011-013-031-035-039-041-045-053-061-067-069-081-085-
087-097-099-101-109-113-131-021440-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BARBOUR BULLOCK
BUTLER COFFEE CONECUH
COVINGTON CRENSHAW DALE
ESCAMBIA GENEVA HENRY
HOUSTON LEE LOWNDES
MACON MOBILE MONROE
MONTGOMERY PIKE RUSSELL
WILCOX
$$
FLC005-013-029-033-037-039-045-059-063-065-067-073-077-079-091-
113-123-129-131-133-021440-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN DIXIE
ESCAMBIA FRANKLIN GADSDEN
GULF HOLMES JACKSON
JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE LEON
LIBERTY MADISON OKALOOSA
SANTA ROSA TAYLOR WAKULLA
WALTON WASHINGTON
$$
GAC007-017-019-027-037-053-061-071-075-081-087-095-099-131-155-
173-177-185-197-201-205-215-239-243-249-253-259-261-273-275-277-
287-307-321-021440-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER BEN HILL BERRIEN
BROOKS CALHOUN CHATTAHOOCHEE
CLAY COLQUITT COOK
CRISP DECATUR DOUGHERTY
EARLY GRADY IRWIN
LANIER LEE LOWNDES
MARION MILLER MITCHELL
MUSCOGEE QUITMAN RANDOLPH
SCHLEY SEMINOLE STEWART
SUMTER TERRELL THOMAS
TIFT TURNER WEBSTER
WORTH
$$
GMZ630-650-655-730-750-755-765-021440-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
MOBILE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 103
VALID 021240Z - 021340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..PETERS..04/02/09
ATTN...WFO...MOB...BMX...TAE...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 103
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC003-005-011-013-031-035-039-041-045-053-061-067-069-081-085-
087-097-099-101-109-113-131-021340-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BARBOUR BULLOCK
BUTLER COFFEE CONECUH
COVINGTON CRENSHAW DALE
ESCAMBIA GENEVA HENRY
HOUSTON LEE LOWNDES
MACON MOBILE MONROE
MONTGOMERY PIKE RUSSELL
WILCOX
$$
FLC005-013-029-033-037-039-045-059-063-065-067-073-077-079-091-
113-123-129-131-133-021340-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN DIXIE
ESCAMBIA FRANKLIN GADSDEN
GULF HOLMES JACKSON
JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE LEON
LIBERTY MADISON OKALOOSA
SANTA ROSA TAYLOR WAKULLA
WALTON WASHINGTON
$$
GAC007-017-019-027-037-053-061-071-075-081-087-095-099-131-155-
173-177-185-197-201-205-215-239-243-249-253-259-261-273-275-277-
287-307-321-021340-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER BEN HILL BERRIEN
BROOKS CALHOUN CHATTAHOOCHEE
CLAY COLQUITT COOK
CRISP DECATUR DOUGHERTY
EARLY GRADY IRWIN
LANIER LEE LOWNDES
MARION MILLER MITCHELL
MUSCOGEE QUITMAN RANDOLPH
SCHLEY SEMINOLE STEWART
SUMTER TERRELL THOMAS
TIFT TURNER WEBSTER
WORTH
$$
GMZ630-650-655-730-750-755-765-021340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
MOBILE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.